Orlando City vs Necaxa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer CONCACAF League Cup Orlando City - Necaxa
Result
5:1
06/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Leagues Cup - Round 3
Orlando City - Necaxa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.941.13
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
82% (282/346)84% (348/416)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.941.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.390.89
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
2817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
178
Passes
82% (282/346)84% (348/416)
Long passes
53% (23/43)45% (20/44)
Passes in final third
66% (65/99)74% (100/135)
Crosses
47% (7/15)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.091.02
Throw-ins
1618
Fouls
817
Tackles
82% (14/17)60% (12/20)
Duels won
4945
Clearances
2218
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.892.39
Goals prevented
-0.11-2.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 5', Brekalo D. 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Ojeda M. , Freeman A. (A),
  • 35', 2 - 0, Muriel L. , Araujo C. (A),
  • 37', 3 - 0, Muriel L. , Angulo I. (A),
  • 45+1', 4 - 0, Muriel L. , Ojeda M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Sanchez R. , Andrade A. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez I. , Perez P. ,
  • 46', Rojas J. , Rossano F. ,
  • 46', Cambindo D. , Cortez R. ,
  • 46', Palavecino A. , Monreal R. ,
  • 51', 5 - 0, Ojeda M. , Angulo I. (A),
  • 63', Muriel L. , Enrique R. ,
  • 63', Pasalic M. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 68', Monreal R. 🟨,
  • 69', Smith K. 🟨,
  • 71', 5 - 1, Pena A. , Rossano F. (A),
  • 88', Smith K. , Thorhallsson D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
56.9%
Draw
21.9%
Necaxa
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 24.6% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 23.7% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.
  • Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Orlando City - Necaxa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.85)
    4.25
    (3.78)
    4.36
    (3.7)
    6.5%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - Necaxa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 50%). Necaxa (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the team to beat.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of Necaxa
    02.08.2025 Inter Miami - Necaxa 3:2
    30.07.2025 Necaxa - Atlanta United 3:1
    26.07.2025 Necaxa - Club América 1:1
    18.07.2025 Necaxa - Querétaro 3:1
    12.07.2025 Toluca - Necaxa 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Los Angeles GalaxyPachuca2 : 1
    2Seattle SoundersPuebla1 : 0
    3Inter MiamiTigres UANL2 : 1
    4TolucaOrlando City0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Los Angeles GalaxySeattle Sounders0 : 2
    2Inter MiamiOrlando City3 : 1

    Final
    1Seattle SoundersInter Miami3 : 0

    3rd place
    2Los Angeles GalaxyOrlando City2 : 1
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