Carolina Core vs Orlando City B: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro
Soccer MLS Next Pro Carolina Core - Orlando City B
Result
3:4 penalties
27/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core - Orlando City B - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.34
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
81% (294/361)88% (431/488)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.181.25
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
81% (294/361)88% (431/488)
Long passes
48% (30/62)63% (29/46)
Passes in final third
64% (68/106)71% (75/105)
Crosses
21% (4/19)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.98
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1212
Tackles
53% (9/17)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3339
Clearances
929
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.251.18
Goals prevented
-0.75-1.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', Guske C. 🟨,
  • 13', Thomas K. 🟨,
  • 32', Reid-Brown T. ↓, Platts S. ↑,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Leonardi P. ⚽,
  • 40', 2 - 0, Leonardi P. ⚽,
  • 45', 2 - 1, Mohammed S. ⚽,
  • 45+3', Hylton J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 2 - 2, Caraballo G. ⚽,
  • 52', 3 - 2, Chica D. ⚽,
  • 63', Sumo A. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
  • 64', 3 - 3, Hylton J. ⚽,
  • 74', Miller A. ↓, Nzingo G. ↑,
  • 80', Hylton J. ↓, Judelson D. ↑,
  • 80', Titus Jr S. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
  • 84', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Alenga M. ↓, Lundeen C. ↑,
  • 90+2', Rodriguez J. ↓, Covi I. ↑,
  • 90+4', Canete F. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Leonardi P. 🟨,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Evans J. (Pen),
  • 1, Ellis J. (Pen),
  • 2, Lundeen C. (Pen),
  • 2, Judelson D. (Pen),
  • 3, Thomas K. (Pen),
  • 3, Mohammed S. (Pen),
  • 4, Covi I. (Pen),
  • 4, Guske C. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Carolina Core
57.2%		Draw
22.6%		Orlando City B
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 21.9% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 20.9% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carolina Core has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Orlando City B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City B than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
    •

    Carolina Core - Orlando City B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.6 ↓
    (1.62)    		 4.04 ↓
    (4.18)    		 4.53 ↑
    (4.23)    		 9.4%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • Carolina Core is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • OCB's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Carolina Core is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Carolina Core will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carolina Core won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carolina Core won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Core - Orlando City B were as follows:
    13.07.2025 Orlando City B - Carolina Core 3:1
    11.06.2025 Carolina Core - Orlando City B 1:0
    03.08.2024 Carolina Core - Orlando City B 1:2
    07.07.2024 Orlando City B - Carolina Core 1:2
    07.06.2024 Orlando City B - Carolina Core 3:2
    Latest results of Carolina Core
    21.09.2025 Chattanooga - Carolina Core 0:1
    13.09.2025 Carolina Core - Atlanta United II 4:2
    04.09.2025 Crown Legacy - Carolina Core 3:4 ✺
    24.08.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Carolina Core 2:3
    16.08.2025 Carolina Core - Chattanooga 0:1
    Latest results of Orlando City B
    21.09.2025 Orlando City B - Huntsville City 0:1
    14.09.2025 Inter Miami II - Orlando City B 1:1
    31.08.2025 Orlando City B - Crown Legacy 1:0
    23.08.2025 Orlando City B - Atlanta United II 2:1
    17.08.2025 Columbus Crew 2 - Orlando City B 2:1
    MLS Next Pro Table
    Main

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II281723668:5658
    2Philadelphia Union II281553564:3458
    3New England Revolution II281452754:3754
    4Chicago Fire II281252969:5848
    5Cincinnati 2289701240:4141
    6Toronto FC II2810241234:4238
    7New York City II289241353:6135
    8Columbus Crew 2285151740:6422


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga281354642:3653
    2Huntsville281442856:3252
    3Carolina Core288551042:4439
    4Atlanta United 2289271044:4338
    5Orlando City B289421338:5537
    6Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    7Inter Miami II286151640:7225


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC281442859:3652
    2Real Monarchs281344755:4251
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 22811411261:5442
    4Ventura County2811241148:5141
    5Portland Timbers 22810241247:5438
    6Tacoma Defiance2810221462:6736
    7Los Angeles FC 2289221547:6133


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2281751560:3762
    2Colorado Rapids 2281514855:4051
    3Minnesota 22812241045:4244
    4North Texas2811421146:5643
    5Austin FC II2810351035:3641
    6Houston Dynamo 2289421340:4737
    7Sporting Kansas City II283241930:6717


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II281723668:5658
    2Philadelphia Union II281553564:3458
    3New England Revolution II281452754:3754
    4Chattanooga281354642:3653
    5Huntsville281442856:3252
    6Chicago Fire II281252969:5848
    7Cincinnati 2289701240:4141
    8Carolina Core288551042:4439
    9Toronto FC II2810241234:4238
    10Atlanta United 2289271044:4338
    11Orlando City B289421338:5537
    12New York City II289241353:6135
    13Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    14Inter Miami II286151640:7225
    15Columbus Crew 2285151740:6422


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2281751560:3762
    2Town FC281442859:3652
    3Colorado Rapids 2281514855:4051
    4Real Monarchs281344755:4251
    5Minnesota 22812241045:4244
    6North Texas2811421146:5643
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 22811411261:5442
    8Ventura County2811241148:5141
    9Austin FC II2810351035:3641
    10Portland Timbers 22810241247:5438
    11Houston Dynamo 2289421340:4737
    12Tacoma Defiance2810221462:6736
    13Los Angeles FC 2289221547:6133
    14Sporting Kansas City II283241930:6717

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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