Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Bolivian Division Profesional Oriente Petrolero - Aurora
Result
3:0
04/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division Profesional - Round 16
Oriente Petrolero - Aurora - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.010.37
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
81% (270/335)71% (179/253)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.010.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.26
Total shots
138
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
2211
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
06
Free Kicks
1518
Passes
81% (270/335)71% (179/253)
Long passes
57% (25/44)30% (17/57)
Passes in final third
67% (56/83)67% (58/87)
Crosses
14% (2/14)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.32
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
1815
Tackles
78% (14/18)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4750
Clearances
2324
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.261.79
Goals prevented
0.26-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Chala W. 🟨,
  • 35', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Blanco O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Alvarez G. , Cristaldo J. E. ,
  • 46', Salvatierra Flores K. F. , Vaca H. ,
  • 48', Sanchez H. 🟨,
  • 51', Sanchez H. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Vaca H. ,
  • 56', Vaca H. 🟨,
  • 64', Alvarez S. 🟨,
  • 69', Santacruz Rodas J. F. , Amaral R. ,
  • 69', Chala W. , Berdecio J. ,
  • 73', 2 - 0, Amaral R. , Melean A. (A),
  • 78', Centurion R. , Tomianovic M. ,
  • 78', Blanco O. , Verdun J. ,
  • 78', Ballivian R. , Torrico J. ,
  • 84', Vaca O. 🟨,
  • 85', 3 - 0, Cristaldo J. E. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Oriente Petrolero
45.5%
Draw
25.1%
Aurora
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 23.9% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 23.4% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oriente Petrolero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Oriente Petrolero - Aurora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.96)
    3.69
    (3.9)
    3.11
    (3.25)
    8.4%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Oriente Petrolero - Aurora?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Aurora will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oriente Petrolero: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aurora (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Aurora (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 2.
    • Oriente Petrolero has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Aurora has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Aurora has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oriente Petrolero won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:3. (average 2.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oriente Petrolero - Aurora were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Aurora - Oriente Petrolero 5:1
    24.09.2024 Oriente Petrolero - Aurora 5:0
    12.05.2024 Aurora - Oriente Petrolero 3:1
    12.11.2023 Oriente Petrolero - Aurora 1:0
    14.05.2023 Aurora - Oriente Petrolero 2:2
    Latest results of Oriente Petrolero
    Latest results of Aurora
    25.07.2025 ABB - Aurora 1:2
    19.07.2025 ABB - Aurora 2:1
    09.07.2025 GVCD San José - Aurora 1:1
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1The Strongest18141351:302143
    2Always Ready18124252:213140
    3Bolivar18104443:212234
    4Blooming18104436:28834
    5GV San Jose1882827:31-426
    6Guabira1874732:32025
    7SA Bulo Bulo1866631:28324
    8Independiente1856727:38-1121
    9Nacional Potosi1855825:22320
    10Real Oruro1855828:32-420
    11Universitario de Vinto1855823:32-920
    12Tomayapo1848619:31-1220
    13Oriente Petrolero1854926:37-1119
    14Academia del Balompie1846820:32-1218
    15Wilstermann18141314:40-267
    16Aurora1874732:311-8

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation

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