Delfín vs Orense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Jocay (Manta).

: Liga Pro - Round 11
Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.05	0.35
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
5	5
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
79% (297/375)	82% (334/409)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.05	0.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.12	0.16
Total shots
5	5
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
1	2
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
2	3
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
9	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
11	15
Passes
79% (297/375)	82% (334/409)
Long passes
44% (24/54)	36% (15/42)
Passes in final third
68% (68/100)	70% (64/92)
Crosses
10% (2/20)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.16	0.39
Throw-ins
19	23
Fouls
15	11
Tackles
72% (13/18)	90% (19/21)
Duels won
38	56
Clearances
21	22
Interceptions
10	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.16	0.12
Goals prevented
0.16	0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Batalla H. ↓, Cuello B. ↑,
56', Caicedo B. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
56', Mejia M. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
59', Cuero Q. C. A. 🟨,
63', Zicarelli F. ↓, Levato M. ↑,
67', Parrales M. ↓, Coronel D. ↑,
68', Vasquez S. ↓, Olinick A. ↑,
80', Cuero Q. C. A. ↓, Tenorio L. ↑,
81', Vega E. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
84', Vinan B. ↓, Quinonez B. ↑,
90', Cuero Mercado J. W. ↓, Reyes M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Delfín
33%

Draw
31.4%

Orense
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

34.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

34.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Delfín - Orense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.62)	2.94 ↑ (2.72)	2.61 ↓ (3.08)	8% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Delfín - Orense?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Orense will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 0.
Recent form of Delfín has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Orense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Orense?

Delfín has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Delfín?

Orense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - Orense were as follows:

01.11.2024 Orense - Delfín 0:0

12.05.2024 Delfín - Orense 0:1

05.08.2023 Orense - Delfín 0:0

27.02.2023 Delfín - Orense 1:1

02.10.2022 Orense - Delfín 1:1

Latest results of Delfín

25.04.2025 El Nacional - Delfín 3:2 ✺

20.04.2025 Delfín - Deportivo Macará 0:0 ✺

09.04.2025 Vinotinto - Delfín 5:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Delfín - SD Aucas 1:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Delfín 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Orense

27.04.2025 Orense - Independiente del Valle 1:2 ✺

20.04.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense 2:0 ✺

14.04.2025 Orense - Barcelona Guayaquil 3:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Orense - Vinotinto 0:0 ✺

30.03.2025 El Nacional - Orense 0:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	18	10	6	2	34:16	18	36
2	Barcelona SC	18	10	3	5	30:23	7	33
3	Dep. Cuenca	18	10	2	6	22:15	7	32
4	LDU Quito	18	8	6	4	29:19	10	30
5	Orense	18	9	3	6	21:21	0	30
6	Aucas	18	8	5	5	25:20	5	29
7	Delfin	18	6	7	5	19:23	-4	25
8	U. Catolica	18	6	6	6	28:23	5	24
9	Libertad	18	6	6	6	27:25	2	24
10	Vinotinto	18	6	4	8	25:23	2	22
11	EL Nacional	18	5	5	8	22:28	-6	20
12	Manta	18	4	8	6	23:30	-7	20
13	Macara	18	4	7	7	14:17	-3	19
14	Emelec	18	4	7	7	13:22	-9	19
15	Mushuc Runa	18	4	3	11	22:35	-13	15
16	Tecnico U	18	2	6	10	16:30	-14	12

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Delfín - Orense?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz