Orenburg vs Khimki: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Russian Premier League Orenburg - Khimki
Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 28
  • Referee: Bobrovsky Y. (Rus)
Orenburg - Khimki - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.43
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
79
Passes
82% (325/396)70% (209/297)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.43
xG on target (xGOT)
2.361.58
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
1111
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
79
Touches in opposition box
3834
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
82% (325/396)70% (209/297)
Long passes
54% (30/56)44% (27/62)
Passes in final third
71% (99/140)62% (89/144)
Crosses
21% (3/14)10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.95
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
1211
Tackles
73% (11/15)79% (15/19)
Duels won
4254
Clearances
4923
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
48
xGOT faced
1.582.36
Goals prevented
0.581.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Savelyev M. 🟨,
  • 15', Mansilla B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', Mejia R. 🟨,
  • 51', Malykh A. , Karatas K. ,
  • 52', 1 - 0, Karatas K. ,
  • 62', Kasimov A. , Mikhailov Y. ,
  • 66', Bakaev Z. 🟨,
  • 67', Zabolotnyi A. , Rudenko A. ,
  • 75', Corredera A. , Magomedov B. ,
  • 75', Berkovskiy I. , Orinho ,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Rudenko A. ,
  • 81', Gurluk E. , Revazov A. ,
  • 81', Mansilla B. , Oganesyan S. ,
  • 90+2', Revazov A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Bakaev Z. , Amian B. ,

Chances of winning


Orenburg
46.7%
Draw
24.4%
Khimki
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 24.9% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 24% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Khimki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Orenburg - Khimki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.2)
    3.93
    (3.96)
    3.33
    (3.24)
    4.2%
    (1.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Orenburg - Khimki?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orenburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Orenburg will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 2.
    • Orenburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Khimki is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Orenburg could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G. (Injury) Moskvichev B. (Knee Injury) Saharkhizan S. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Khimki: Farina E. (Muscle Injury) Luna D. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Khimki were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Orenburg - Khimki 2:0
    22.09.2024 Khimki - Orenburg 0:0
    31.07.2024 Khimki - Orenburg 1:0
    23.02.2023 Khimki - Orenburg 2:5
    04.11.2022 Khimki - Orenburg 2:0
    Latest results of Orenburg
    27.04.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg 2:0
    12.04.2025 Orenburg - CSKA Moscow 0:2
    04.04.2025 Pari NN - Orenburg 1:2
    Latest results of Khimki
    04.05.2025 Khimki - Rostov 1:1
    27.04.2025 Khimki - Akron Tolyatti 2:2
    20.04.2025 Zenit - Khimki 1:0
    13.04.2025 Khimki - Krylya Sovetov 1:3
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow11003:033
    2Krasnodar11003:033
    3Rubin Kazan11002:023
    4Zenit11002:113
    5Spartak Moscow11001:013
    6Baltika10101:101
    7Dynamo Moscow10101:101
    8Krylya Sovetov10101:101
    9Akron Togliatti10101:101
    10Orenburg10100:001
    11CSKA Moscow10100:001
    12FK Rostov10011:2-10
    13Dynamo Makhachkala10010:1-10
    14Akhmat Grozny10010:2-20
    15Pari NN10010:3-30
    16Sochi10010:3-30

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL

    Which TV channels are streaming of Orenburg - Khimki?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaQ Sport Asia
    belarusBelarusBelarus 5
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
    russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
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