Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC
Result
3:1
07/06/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)
Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.06
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
90% (437/484)85% (253/296)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.780.57
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1223
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1319
Passes
90% (437/484)85% (253/296)
Long passes
62% (31/50)58% (28/48)
Passes in final third
74% (78/105)74% (65/88)
Crosses
31% (4/13)30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.841.01
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
1913
Tackles
69% (9/13)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3844
Clearances
1716
Interceptions
24
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.570.78
Goals prevented
-0.43-2.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Okello N. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Formella D. , Okello N. (A),
  • 35', Smith C. 🟨,
  • 45', War M. , Sylla O. ,
  • 45+3', Sylla O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', MacKinnon L. , Zubak E. ,
  • 50', Hegardt C. 🟨,
  • 53', Scott K. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Latinovich V. , Hegardt C. (A),
  • 60', Essengue A. 🟨,
  • 63', Kowall C. , Dennis C. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Essengue A. , Formella D. (A),
  • 70', Traore M. 🟨,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Dennis C. , Formella D. (A),
  • 75', Hegardt C. , Ciotta N. ,
  • 75', Partida K. , Kone C. ,
  • 76', Sacko I. , Emmers X. ,
  • 76', Okello N. , Sainte C. F. ,
  • 81', Dunbar C. , Barjolo B. ,
  • 87', Avayevu H. , Cuello E. ,
  • 87', Scearce J. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
43.7%
Draw
27.3%
Orange County SC
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 25% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 24.2% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orange County SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.31)
    3.37
    (3.7)
    3.16
    (2.64)
    8.9%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 3.
    • Phoenix Rising is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Orange County SC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Phoenix Rising could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC were as follows:
    25.09.2024 Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising 2:0
    08.06.2024 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 2:1
    28.10.2023 Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    30.09.2023 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 1:1
    20.05.2023 Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising 0:1
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City16114129:121737
    2Charleston15102332:151732
    3Loudoun1582524:20426
    4North Carolina1372419:14523
    5Pittsburgh1462612:12020
    6Detroit1455419:18120
    7Miami FC1351713:18-516
    8Rhode Island1443713:16-315
    9Indy Eleven1335520:24-414
    10Birmingham1535715:21-614
    11Tampa Bay1432916:24-811
    12Hartford Athletic1223713:19-69


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1481521:15625
    2San Antonio1573522:21124
    3El Paso1565424:22223
    4FC Tulsa1263315:9621
    5Sacramento Republic1455419:12720
    6Phoenix Rising1555524:25-120
    7Monterey Bay1554616:17-119
    8Las Vegas Lights1553710:20-1018
    9Orange County SC1352617:20-317
    10Lexington1545616:22-617
    11Colorado Springs1536618:22-415
    12Oakland Roots1442814:23-914

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
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