Result
1:0
09/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : USL Championship
- Referee: Albuquerque R. (Usa)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.38 | 1.38 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
81% (319/394) | 86% (353/409) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.38 | 1.38 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.74 | 0.64 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 11 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 13 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
7 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
81% (319/394) | 86% (353/409) |
Long passes |
---|
39% (17/44) | 56% (22/39) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (57/87) | 73% (69/95) |
Crosses |
---|
30% (3/10) | 34% (11/32) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.49 | 1.06 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
90% (9/10) | 78% (7/9) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
34 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.64 | 0.74 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.64 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Servania J. 🟨,
- 41', Latinovich V. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Da Costa R. ⚽, Maldonado M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Jamison B. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
- 64', Latinovich V. ↓, Hegardt C. ↑,
- 65', Da Costa R. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 74', Servania J. ↓, Burner P. ↑,
- 75', Martin C. ↓, Sommersall R. ↑,
- 80', Dunbar C. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
- 83', Partida K. 🟨,
- 84', Partida K. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
- 84', Scott K. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
Chances of winning
North Carolina 46.3% | Draw 28.4% | Orange County SC 25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Carolina's performance.Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orange County SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Carolina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orange County SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
North Carolina - Orange County SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2 ↓ (2.44) |
3.27 ↑ (3.14) |
3.67 ↑ (2.83) |
7.8% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for North Carolina - Orange County SC?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - North Carolina (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
Users Predictions:
North Carolina will win
(17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): North Carolina will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- North Carolina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, North Carolina is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, North Carolina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Orange County SC?
North Carolina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against North Carolina?
Orange County SC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Orange County SC were as follows:
03.08.2024
Orange County SC
-
North Carolina
0:1
Latest results of North Carolina
Latest results of Orange County SC
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Charleston | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 25 |
2 | Louisville City | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 11 | 25 |
3 | Loudoun | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 22 |
4 | North Carolina | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Detroit | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
6 | Pittsburgh | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
7 | Miami FC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
8 | Rhode Island | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
9 | Indy Eleven | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 11 |
10 | Birmingham | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | Hartford Athletic | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
12 | Tampa Bay | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | New Mexico | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 22 |
2 | FC Tulsa | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
3 | San Antonio | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 20 |
4 | El Paso | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Phoenix Rising | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Monterey Bay | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
7 | Orange County SC | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 13 |
8 | Sacramento Republic | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 13 |
9 | Las Vegas Lights | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 12 |
10 | Colorado Springs | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
11 | Oakland Roots | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 11 |
12 | Lexington | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of North Carolina - Orange County SC?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |