North Carolina vs Orange County SC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship North Carolina - Orange County SC
Result
1:0
09/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Albuquerque R. (Usa)
North Carolina - Orange County SC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.381.38
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
720
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
010
Passes
81% (319/394)86% (353/409)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.381.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.740.64
Total shots
720
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
311
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
513
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
010
Touches in opposition box
715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
81% (319/394)86% (353/409)
Long passes
39% (17/44)56% (22/39)
Passes in final third
66% (57/87)73% (69/95)
Crosses
30% (3/10)34% (11/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.491.06
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
1211
Tackles
90% (9/10)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4237
Clearances
3419
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.640.74
Goals prevented
0.64-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Servania J. 🟨,
  • 41', Latinovich V. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Da Costa R. , Maldonado M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Jamison B. , Trager T. ,
  • 64', Latinovich V. , Hegardt C. ,
  • 65', Da Costa R. , Perez L. ,
  • 74', Servania J. , Burner P. ,
  • 75', Martin C. , Sommersall R. ,
  • 80', Dunbar C. , Barjolo B. ,
  • 83', Partida K. 🟨,
  • 84', Partida K. , Zubak E. ,
  • 84', Scott K. , Miles A. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


North Carolina
46.3%
Draw
28.4%
Orange County SC
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 29.4% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 28.7% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Carolina's performance.
  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orange County SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Carolina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orange County SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • North Carolina - Orange County SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.44)
    3.27
    (3.14)
    3.67
    (2.83)
    7.8%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for North Carolina - Orange County SC?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - North Carolina (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • Users Predictions: North Carolina will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): North Carolina will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • North Carolina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, North Carolina is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, North Carolina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Orange County SC were as follows:
    03.08.2024 Orange County SC - North Carolina 0:1
    Latest results of North Carolina
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston1181226:121425
    2Louisville City1174017:61125
    3Loudoun1171320:11922
    4North Carolina1162316:11520
    5Detroit1245315:15017
    6Pittsburgh114259:10-114
    7Miami FC1041511:14-313
    8Rhode Island1133510:11-112
    9Indy Eleven1025318:20-211
    10Birmingham1124512:16-410
    11Hartford Athletic101369:17-86
    12Tampa Bay1112810:20-105


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1171316:10622
    2FC Tulsa1162314:8620
    3San Antonio1262418:16220
    4El Paso1255221:16520
    5Phoenix Rising1254322:19319
    6Monterey Bay1354415:13219
    7Orange County SC1141614:20-613
    8Sacramento Republic1034315:11413
    9Las Vegas Lights123367:18-1112
    10Colorado Springs1226416:19-312
    11Oakland Roots1232713:22-911
    12Lexington1215611:20-98

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of North Carolina - Orange County SC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
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