Lexington vs Orange County SC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Lexington - Orange County SC
Result
1:1
12/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
Lexington - Orange County SC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.12
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
194
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
130
Passes
90% (398/442)76% (222/291)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.940.04
Total shots
194
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
123
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
130
Touches in opposition box
394
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
90% (398/442)76% (222/291)
Long passes
47% (8/17)40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
89% (156/175)68% (39/57)
Crosses
24% (10/41)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.12
Throw-ins
138
Fouls
1211
Tackles
71% (5/7)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4044
Clearances
836
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.040.94
Goals prevented
-0.96-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', Ciotta N. , Latinovich V. ,
  • 42', Adedokun M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Jamison B. , Benalcazar N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Pinto M. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Ajago F. , Sargeant K. (A),
  • 64', Jamison B. , Trager T. ,
  • 64', Pinto M. , Karam G. ,
  • 65', Ferri B. 🟨,
  • 72', Karam G. 🟨,
  • 72', Williams D. , Burke C. ,
  • 74', Zubak E. , Dunbar C. ,
  • 74', War M. , Molina R. ,
  • 85', Rodrigues B. P. , Midence A. ,
  • 85', Gilbert G. , Epps M. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
49.4%
Draw
27.3%
Orange County SC
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 27.2% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 26% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Lexington - Orange County SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.96)
    3.42
    (3.39)
    3.99
    (3.59)
    7.4%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lexington - Orange County SC?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lexington will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Orange County SC will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lexington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Orange County SC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
    • Lexington might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Orange County SC were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Orange County SC - Lexington 2:2
    Latest results of Lexington
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 26196152:193363
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina25124938:34440
    4Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    5Loudoun25115941:42-138
    6Pittsburgh2597925:24134
    7Indy Eleven26951240:45-532
    8Detroit26881029:32-332
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay25751333:40-726
    11Birmingham264111131:44-1323
    12Miami FC26561522:40-1821


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa26138541:291247
    2Sacramento Republic25118637:201741
    3New Mexico251141034:33137
    4San Antonio25107834:31337
    5Lexington2598827:30-335
    6El Paso2589839:37233
    7Phoenix Rising26712745:47-233
    8Colorado Springs26871133:39-631
    9Orange County SC24861037:39-230
    10Monterey Bay27771326:37-1128
    11Oakland Roots25761232:41-927
    12Las Vegas Lights25671219:42-2325

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