Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights
Result
4:0
19/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)
Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.06
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
91% (489/535)83% (263/318)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.06
xG on target (xGOT)
2.050.03
Total shots
184
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
120
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
261
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
91% (489/535)83% (263/318)
Long passes
70% (32/46)51% (36/70)
Passes in final third
80% (98/123)53% (29/55)
Crosses
33% (4/12)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.08
Throw-ins
1116
Fouls
1518
Tackles
88% (14/16)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5034
Clearances
1116
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.032.05
Goals prevented
0.03-1.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 12', Zubak E. (Pen),
  • 12', 1 - 0, Zubak E. ,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Doghman R. , Hegardt C. (A),
  • 39', Pearson C. 🟥,
  • 41', 3 - 0, War M. , Sylla O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Stojanovic S. , Covil V. ,
  • 46', Singer J. , Nigro G. ,
  • 58', Sylla O. 🟨,
  • 63', Ciotta N. , Santos K. ,
  • 63', Doghman R. , Guimaraes P. ,
  • 64', Covil V. , Gannon C. ,
  • 64', Leal P. , Peeters D. ,
  • 71', Latinovich V. , Miles A. ,
  • 75', Sylla O. , Dunbar C. ,
  • 75', Partida K. , Karam G. ,
  • 82', Smart S. , Pickering N. ,
  • 89', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
  • 89', 4 - 0, Hegardt C. ,
  • 90+2', Pickering N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
51.6%
Draw
26%
Las Vegas Lights
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 23.8% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 23.5% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orange County SC's form might have worsened.
  • Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orange County SC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.6)
    3.55
    (3.9)
    4.13
    (5.1)
    8.3%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orange County SC (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Orange County SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Orange County SC is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:29. (average 1.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 1:3
    05.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC 1:0
    05.10.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC 1:1
    31.08.2024 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 2:3
    02.09.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC 1:5
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1783626:24227
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1664614:14022
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1653816:24-818
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Tampa Bay16421017:25-814
    12Hartford Athletic1534815:21-613


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1685324:16829
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1581622:17525
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Phoenix Rising1665526:26023
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    8Orange County SC1562722:22020
    9Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    10Lexington1747617:23-619
    11Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518
    12Colorado Springs1646619:22-318

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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