Orange County SC vs Birmingham Legion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion
Result
4:4
30/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: May C. (Usa)
Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.211.33
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
90% (411/456)86% (357/415)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
2.211.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.471.84
Total shots
129
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1821
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
90% (411/456)86% (357/415)
Long passes
68% (39/57)48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
72% (80/111)82% (115/141)
Crosses
40% (6/15)44% (8/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.80
Throw-ins
1613
Fouls
1414
Tackles
79% (11/14)80% (16/20)
Duels won
4747
Clearances
1311
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.842.47
Goals prevented
-1.16-1.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Daley A. , Tregarthen S. (A),
  • 16', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 21', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Miles A. , Guimaraes P. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 2, Damus R. , Martinez E. (A),
  • 43', 2 - 2, Zubak E. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', McIllhatton S. , Laszo E. ,
  • 46', Hamouda R. , Paterson AJ ,
  • 48', Ciotta N. 🟨,
  • 52', 2 - 3, Latinovich V. (Own goal),
  • 54', 3 - 3, Guimaraes P. , Doghman R. (A),
  • 56', Jamison B. 🟨,
  • 57', Suarez S. 🟨,
  • 62', 3 - 4, Tregarthen S. , Martinez E. (A),
  • 66', 4 - 4, Hegardt C. ,
  • 71', Jamison B. , Molina R. ,
  • 71', Sylla O. , Karam G. ,
  • 74', Molina R. 🟨,
  • 84', Laszo E. 🟨,
  • 86', Martinez E. , Rufe J. ,
  • 86', Tregarthen S. , Preston T. ,
  • 89', Zubak E. , War M. ,
  • 90', Daley A. , Centeno E. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
49.6%
Draw
25.8%
Birmingham Legion
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 25.7% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 25.2% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.87)
    3.66
    (3.6)
    3.82
    (3.71)
    6.2%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orange County SC (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Orange County SC will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Orange County SC is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Birmingham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
    • Orange County SC might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Birmingham Legion - Orange County SC 3:0
    22.04.2023 Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City23166146:182854
    2Charleston23162547:242350
    3Loudoun23114837:35237
    4North Carolina22103934:32233
    5Hartford Athletic2395933:27632
    6Detroit2388729:26332
    7Pittsburgh2277821:21028
    8Indy Eleven23751136:42-626
    9Rhode Island23661116:24-824
    10Birmingham23410929:38-922
    11Tampa Bay22631324:34-1021
    12Miami FC23551322:38-1620


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa23127438:261243
    2Sacramento Republic22107533:171637
    3El Paso2288637:32532
    4Lexington2387825:29-431
    5New Mexico2193927:30-330
    6Colorado Springs2286829:30-130
    7San Antonio2286826:28-230
    8Phoenix Rising2379738:40-230
    9Orange County SC2184933:33028
    10Oakland Roots21731125:32-724
    11Monterey Bay24661224:32-824
    12Las Vegas Lights23661118:39-2124

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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