Vila Nova vs Operário Ferroviario: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario
11/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Vila Nova
41.1%
Draw
31.4%
Operário Ferroviario
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 29.1% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 27.8% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.
  • Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Operário Ferroviario's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.91)
    2.99
    (3.21)
    3.45
    (4.22)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 3.
    • In recent matches, Vila Nova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Operário PR is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Vila Nova will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario were as follows:
    20.08.2024 Operário Ferroviario - Vila Nova 2:3
    04.05.2024 Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario 1:0
    30.09.2022 Operário Ferroviario - Vila Nova 1:1
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    06.07.2025 Ferroviária - Vila Nova 1:3
    22.06.2025 Amazonas - Vila Nova 2:1
    09.06.2025 Criciúma - Vila Nova 1:0
    Latest results of Operário Ferroviario
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba1593315:6930
    2Goias1593319:12730
    3Novorizontino1576218:10827
    4Avai1566319:13624
    5Remo1566317:13424
    6Athletico-PR1572619:19023
    7Chapecoense-SC1571719:15422
    8Vila Nova FC1571714:15-122
    9Cuiaba1564515:16-122
    10CRB1563615:14121
    11Atletico GO1556416:14221
    12America MG1562716:17-120
    13Ferroviaria1546515:17-218
    14Operario-PR1552817:19-217
    15Criciuma1545617:16117
    16Botafogo SP1545612:17-517
    17Athletic Club15501014:23-915
    18Paysandu PA153579:15-614
    19Volta Redonda153577:14-714
    20Amazonas1535712:20-814

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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