One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL League One One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence
Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL League One
One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.25
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
165
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
87% (493/566)72% (220/306)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.110.02
Total shots
165
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2610
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
87% (493/566)72% (220/306)
Long passes
46% (22/48)32% (19/59)
Passes in final third
82% (97/118)61% (59/97)
Crosses
22% (6/27)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.31
Throw-ins
2024
Fouls
1211
Tackles
73% (11/15)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5159
Clearances
2525
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.021.11
Goals prevented
0.020.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Romero J. , Ousmanou P. ,
  • 43', Calixtro G. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
  • 56', Chaney C. , Marou S. ,
  • 56', Bakero J. , Jaime C. ,
  • 57', Ousmanou P. 🟨,
  • 60', Kelly-Rosales A. , Goling M. ,
  • 60', Calixtro G. , Rosamilia N. ,
  • 60', Doyle M. , Zarokostas S. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Brown J. , Caputo A. (A),
  • 72', Spielman N. 🟨,
  • 73', Jauregui R. , Moreno J. ,
  • 73', Sorenson A. 🟨,
  • 81', Caputo A. , Thomas J. ,
  • 85', Thomas J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Bull 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


One Knoxville
47.4%
Draw
26.9%
Charlotte Independence
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 24.1% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 23% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that One Knoxville's form might have worsened.
  • Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charlotte Independence's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for One Knoxville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlotte Independence, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.63)
    3.43
    (3.78)
    3.6
    (4.54)
    8.3%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 1.
    • Recent performances by One Knoxville have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Charlotte Ind is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Charlotte Ind has had a series of away games.
    • One Knoxville is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence were as follows:
    30.07.2025 One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence 2:2
    16.05.2025 Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville 3:1
    07.09.2024 One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence 1:1
    16.03.2024 Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville 1:2
    30.09.2023 Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville 1:1
    Latest results of One Knoxville
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1One Knoxville ✔ 28149540:251551
    2Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔ 281310538:281049
    3Spokane Velocity ✔ 27138637:271047
    4FC Naples ✔ 28128838:31744
    5Union Omaha ✔ 281261045:37842
    6Portland Hearts of Pine271010738:33540
    7Tormenta281161148:46239
    8Charlotte Independ281071144:46-237
    9Forward Madison28811930:34-435
    10Greenville28881237:38-132
    11AV Alta287111038:45-732
    12Texoma28791234:50-1630
    13Richmond Kickers28751638:50-1226
    14Westchester SC28581540:55-1523

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    Union Omaha is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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