Result
2:2
11/05/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera A - Apertura - Round 18
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (161/216) | 85% (364/429) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (161/216) | 85% (364/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/51) | 73% (30/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (60/91) | 79% (114/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 45% (9/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 94% (15/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Malagon J. ⚽, Zuleta M. (A),
- 9', Malagon J. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 1, Palacios K. ⚽,
- 24', Vega S. 🟨,
- 24', Zuleta M. 🟨,
- 25', Catano D. 🟨,
- 29', 2 - 1, Cardona J. ⚽, Malagon J. (A),
- 34', Garcia J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 38', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Hernandez J. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 2, Llinas A. ⚽, Ruiz D. (A),
- 65', Beltran E. ↓, Dorrego H. ↑,
- 65', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
- 67', Palacios K. ↓, Villarreal N. ↑,
- 67', Catano D. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
- 67', Vega S. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
- 68', Cardona J. ↓, Riquett J. ↑,
- 73', Moreno D. 🟨,
- 74', Pereira J. 🟨,
- 82', Ruiz D. ↓, Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↑,
- 87', Montero A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Banguero D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/nn3m5xxf
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
41.5% | Draw
32.2% | Millonarios
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Once Caldas - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.1) |
2.91 ↓
(3.2) |
3.55 ↑
(3.35) |
6.6%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Millonarios?
The most likely score is 1:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 3.
- Once Caldas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Millonarios is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Once Caldas has had a series of away games.
- Once Caldas could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Millonarios?
Once Caldas has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Once Caldas?
Millonarios has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Millonarios were as follows:
05.03.2025
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
1:0
08.09.2024
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
1:1
27.02.2024
Millonarios
-
Once Caldas
0:2
21.08.2023
Millonarios
-
Once Caldas
2:1
26.02.2023
Once Caldas
-
Millonarios
1:0
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 34:16 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Millonarios ✔ | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26:15 | 11 | 35 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 33 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 33 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 27 |
| 9 | Dep. Pasto | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17:17 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | Alianza | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | Pereira | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 12 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:18 | 0 | 23 |
| 14 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 20 |
| 15 | Envigado | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 18 |
| 16 | Llaneros | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Chico | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 10:26 | -16 | 17 |
| 18 | Aguilas | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 | La Equidad | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12:28 | -16 | 10 |
| 20 | U. Magdalena | 17 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 13:25 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Millonarios is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Which TV channels are streaming of Once Caldas - Millonarios?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
