Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/09/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Palogrande (Manizales).

: Primera A - Clausura - Round 10
Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.76
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
17	17
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
84% (295/353)	81% (280/346)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.81	0.06
Total shots
17	17
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
9	10
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
10	13
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
18	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
12	6
Passes
84% (295/353)	81% (280/346)
Long passes
60% (38/63)	45% (18/40)
Passes in final third
72% (75/104)	71% (109/154)
Crosses
33% (7/21)	5% (1/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.67	0.70
Throw-ins
23	22
Fouls
7	13
Tackles
80% (8/10)	93% (13/14)
Duels won
45	32
Clearances
23	21
Interceptions
8	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.06	0.81
Goals prevented
0.06	-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Riquett J. 🟨,
11', Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
41', Torres G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽,
51', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
56', Torres G. ↓, Largacha J. ↑,
56', Perez M. ↓, Merheg S. J. ↑,
57', Pacheco W. 🟨,
61', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
63', Largacha J. 🟨,
65', Kelvin Osorio ↓, Cabrera Y. ↑,
65', Pacheco W. ↓, Ararat J. ↑,
69', Zuleta M. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
69', Sanchez L. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
79', Barrios M. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
84', Albornoz O. ↓, Mosquera L. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3cpt4n2y

Chances of winning

Once Caldas
42.2%

Draw
30.8%

Deportivo Pereira
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

30.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+4%)

Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.41)	3.03 ↓ (3.11)	3.43 ↑ (2.99)	7% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 2.
Once Caldas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Pereira is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Once Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Once Caldas has had a series of away games.
Once Caldas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportivo Pereira?

Once Caldas has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pereira won against Once Caldas?

Deportivo Pereira has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira were as follows:

03.08.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas 2:1

22.03.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas 1:1

19.02.2025 Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira 3:1

03.09.2024 Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas 0:1

22.02.2024 Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira 1:2

Latest results of Once Caldas

01.09.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas 1:2 ✺

28.08.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas 1:2 ✺

24.08.2025 Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima 0:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Patriotas - Once Caldas 1:0 ✺

19.08.2025 Huracán Buenos Aires - Once Caldas 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Pereira

02.09.2025 Real Cundinamarca - Deportivo Pereira 2:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:1 ✺

26.08.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Real Cundinamarca 4:3 ✺

23.08.2025 Envigado - Deportivo Pereira 1:1 ✺

14.08.2025 Deportivo Pereira - América de Cali 2:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bucaramanga	14	8	3	3	25:12	13	27
2	Junior	14	7	4	3	26:17	9	25
3	Fortaleza	14	6	7	1	19:13	6	25
4	Atl. Nacional	14	6	6	2	23:16	7	24
5	Ind. Medellin	13	7	3	3	25:19	6	24
6	Deportes Tolima	14	7	2	5	17:12	5	23
7	Santa Fe	13	5	5	3	15:11	4	20
8	Dep. Cali	14	5	5	4	19:19	0	20
9	Alianza	14	5	5	4	19:19	0	20
10	Once Caldas	14	5	4	5	17:16	1	19
11	Llaneros	14	5	4	5	11:13	-2	19
12	Aguilas	14	4	5	5	18:20	-2	17
13	Millonarios	14	5	2	7	16:20	-4	17
14	Pereira	14	3	6	5	12:14	-2	15
15	U. Magdalena	14	4	3	7	17:24	-7	15
16	America De Cali	14	3	5	6	11:13	-2	14
17	Envigado	14	2	7	5	11:14	-3	13
18	Chico	14	2	6	6	11:22	-11	12
19	Dep. Pasto	14	2	5	7	15:21	-6	11
20	La Equidad	14	2	5	7	7:19	-12	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2