Once Caldas vs Boyacá Chicó: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó
Result
5:2
26/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Clausura - Round 13
Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.350.62
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
87% (441/508)75% (175/234)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.350.62
xG on target (xGOT)
2.621.31
Total shots
158
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
267
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1420
Passes
87% (441/508)75% (175/234)
Long passes
62% (37/60)36% (16/44)
Passes in final third
79% (126/160)54% (30/56)
Crosses
24% (4/17)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.08
Throw-ins
2317
Fouls
2014
Tackles
77% (10/13)44% (4/9)
Duels won
3740
Clearances
526
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.312.62
Goals prevented
-0.69-1.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. ,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Mejia R. , Barrios M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Jordan J. , Arango E. ,
  • 46', Johan Bocanegra , Hernandez V. ,
  • 47', 3 - 0, Molina J. (Own goal),
  • 50', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
  • 51', Ampudia J. 🟨,
  • 52', Cortes K. 🟨,
  • 53', 3 - 1, Molina J. ,
  • 56', Cortes K. , Gomez M. ,
  • 57', Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 64', 4 - 1, Zapata Ramirez J. A. , Gomez P. (A),
  • 65', Garcia M. , Rojas I. ,
  • 65', Barrios M. , Zuleta M. ,
  • 66', Camargo E. 🟨,
  • 71', 4 - 2, Molina J. ,
  • 72', Camargo E. , Valencia A. ,
  • 76', Zapata Ramirez J. A. , Quinones D. ,
  • 76', Cuesta Santos J. D. , Cardona J. ,
  • 76', Gomez P. , Ibarguen A. ,
  • 77', 5 - 2, Zuleta M. , Quinones D. (A),
  • 79', Molina J. , Aedo A. ,
  • 87', Aedo A. 🟥,
  • 88', Arango E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mr6mzcxv

Chances of winning


Once Caldas
62%
Draw
25.7%
Boyacá Chicó
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 28.3% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 27.5% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Once Caldas's performance.
  • Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boyacá Chicó might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Once Caldas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.73)
    4.19
    (3.3)
    9.27
    (5.25)
    -4%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 50%). Boyacá Chicó (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Once Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Once Caldas is the team to beat.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Once Caldas 0:0
    15.07.2024 Boyacá Chicó - Once Caldas 0:1
    20.01.2024 Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó 2:1
    08.10.2023 Boyacá Chicó - Once Caldas 2:1
    Latest results of Once Caldas
    Latest results of Boyacá Chicó
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1483325:121327
    2Junior1374226:161025
    3Fortaleza1467119:13625
    4Ind. Medellin1273224:17724
    5Atl. Nacional1365222:15723
    6Deportes Tolima1362516:12420
    7Santa Fe1355315:11420
    8Dep. Cali1455419:19020
    9Alianza1455419:19020
    10Llaneros1454511:13-219
    11Once Caldas1344516:16016
    12Pereira1436512:14-215
    13U. Magdalena1443717:24-715
    14America De Cali1335510:11-114
    15Aguilas1335516:19-314
    16Millonarios1342714:19-514
    17Envigado1427511:14-313
    18Dep. Pasto1425715:21-611
    19Chico1325610:21-1111
    20La Equidad132567:18-1111

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
    south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
    usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2
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