Once Caldas vs Atlético Nacional: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Colombian Primera A Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional
Result
1:2
19/06/2025 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 6
Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.21
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (363/428)87% (364/419)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.601.24
Total shots
715
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1217
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
178
Passes
85% (363/428)87% (364/419)
Long passes
51% (28/55)69% (37/54)
Passes in final third
67% (76/113)64% (56/87)
Crosses
5% (1/19)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.290.81
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
817
Tackles
78% (7/9)67% (6/9)
Duels won
2627
Clearances
1831
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.240.60
Goals prevented
-0.76-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Salazar A. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Asprilla D. ,
  • 32', Barrios M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Castano J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Garcia Castillo A. , Zapata Ramirez J. A. ,
  • 46', Castro J. , Uribe C. ,
  • 57', Rosa J. , Landazuri L. ,
  • 61', Beltran E. , Valencia Y. ,
  • 65', Salazar A. , Gil Mosquera F. A. ,
  • 67', Zuleta M. 🟨,
  • 67', Morelos A. 🟨,
  • 75', Campuzano J. 🟨,
  • 76', Castano J. , Rincon Jacome H. ,
  • 76', 0 - 2, Hinestroza M. ,
  • 80', Zuleta M. , Garcia J. ,
  • 80', Rojas I. , Diaz J. ,
  • 83', Campuzano J. , Garcia S. ,
  • 84', Morelos A. , Toscano Bassa K. D. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Moreno D. (Pen),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/duk3cdwr

Chances of winning


Once Caldas
26.6%
Draw
26.8%
Atlético Nacional
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 30.2% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8% 30.5% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Nacional's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (3.24)
    3.46
    (3.13)
    2.03
    (2.32)
    7%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH +0.5 - Once Caldas (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 and 3)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 2.
    • Once Caldas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Atlético Nacional has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Once Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Atlético Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Atlético Nacional - Once Caldas 0:0
    25.01.2025 Atlético Nacional - Once Caldas 4:0
    27.07.2024 Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional 2:0
    07.07.2024 Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional 1:0
    01.02.2024 Atlético Nacional - Once Caldas 1:1
    Latest results of Once Caldas
    Latest results of Atlético Nacional
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Final
    1Santa FeInd. Medellin0 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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