Result
1:0
15/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 1 - Round 1
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (220/284) | 92% (645/704) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (220/284) | 92% (645/704) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/47) | 66% (23/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (31/55) | 85% (209/245) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 29% (10/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Rabiot A. 🟨,
- 31', Ait Boudlal A. 🟥,
- 37', Tamari M. 🟨,
- 37', Meite M. ↓, Wooh C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kondogbia G. ↓, Weah T. ↑,
- 63', Rowe J. ↓, Aubameyang P. ↑,
- 64', Rieder F. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 78', Murillo M. ↓, Garcia U. ↑,
- 84', Garcia U. 🟨,
- 85', Tamari M. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
- 85', Frankowski P. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
- 86', Fofana S. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
- 86', Gomes A. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,
- 89', Rongier V. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, Blas L. ⚽, Merlin Q. (A),
- 90+4', Balerdi L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rennes
25.4% | Draw
25.9% | Olympique Marseille
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-1%)
Rennes - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.74 ↑
(3.51) |
3.69 ↓
(3.79) |
1.95 ↓
(2.03) |
5%
(4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rennes - Olympique Marseille?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Olympique Marseille will win
(60 of 70 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.51% – 93.91%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 2.
- Recent performances by Rennes have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Marseille is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Marseille has had a series of home games.
- Marseille might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Rennes: Seidu A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Medina F.
(Yellow Cards)
Paixao I.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Olympique Marseille?
Rennes has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Rennes?
Olympique Marseille has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
17.05.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Rennes
4:2
11.01.2025
Rennes
-
Olympique Marseille
1:2
17.03.2024
Rennes
-
Olympique Marseille
2:0
21.01.2024
Rennes
-
Olympique Marseille
2:1
03.12.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Rennes
2:0
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Rennes - Olympique Marseille?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+ |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1, Sport TV2, Sport TV3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
