Olympique Marseille vs Lorient: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Olympique Marseille - Lorient
Result
3:1
12/05/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 33
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
Olympique Marseille - Lorient - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.871.14
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
1314
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
69
Blocked Shots
32
Free Kicks
36
Corner Kicks
95
Offsides
30
Throw-ins
2513
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Fouls
96
Yellow Cards
34
Total Passes
481344
Completed Passes
394273
Tackles
1720
Attacks
116100
Dangerous Attacks
6238
Clearances Completed
1922
Crosses Completed
46
Interceptions
712

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 17', Laporte J. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Aubameyang P. , Murillo M. (A),
  • 41', 2 - 0, Gigot S. ,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Mendy B. , Bamba M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Aubameyang P. 🟨,
  • 51', Katseris P. 🟨,
  • 54', 3 - 1, Aubameyang P. (Pen),
  • 61', Bamba M. 🟨,
  • 62', Bakayoko T. , Bouanani B. ,
  • 62', Tosin A. , Dieng B. ,
  • 62', Adjei N. , Mendy F. ,
  • 63', Sarr I. , Harit A. ,
  • 63', Moumbagna F. , Ndiaye I. ,
  • 71', Gigot S. , Meite A. ,
  • 73', Gueye P. 🟨,
  • 76', Louza I. , Ponceau J. ,
  • 78', Veretout J. , Onana J. ,
  • 78', Gueye P. , Kondogbia G. ,
  • 80', Bamba M. , Kroupi E. J. ,
  • 90+2', Abergel L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Murillo M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
64.7%
Draw
20.5%
Lorient
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.2% 19.2% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 18.2% 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Olympique Marseille - Lorient Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.41)
    4.69
    (4.93)
    6.46
    (6.98)
    5%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Lorient?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is Olympique Marseille will win! (39 of 50 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Marseille won 4.
    • Recent matches Marseille is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lorient has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Marseille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Marseille is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Balerdi L. (Suspended) Nadir B. (Knee Injury) Rongier V. (Knee Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lorient: Igor Silva (Injury) Kari A. (Injury) Toure I. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Harit A. (Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Marseille won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 35-20.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-13.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Lorient were as follows:
    10.12.2023 Lorient - Olympique Marseille 2:4
    09.04.2023 Lorient - Olympique Marseille 0:0
    14.01.2023 Olympique Marseille - Lorient 3:1
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Latest results of Lorient
    03.05.2024 Lens - Lorient 2:0
    28.04.2024 Lorient - Toulouse 1:2
    19.04.2024 Nice - Lorient 3:0
    07.04.2024 Montpellier - Lorient 2:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 32246285:335278
    2Marseille32185967:442359
    3Monaco32177861:372458
    4Nice32169760:392157
    5Lille32169750:331757
    6Strasbourg32169753:391457
    7Lyon321661063:441954
    8Lens321461237:38-148
    9Brest321451350:53-347
    10Auxerre321181346:47-141
    11Rennes321221847:46138
    12Toulouse321081440:40038
    13Reims32891532:43-1133
    14Angers32961730:50-2033
    15Nantes327111435:51-1632
    16Le Havre32941936:66-3031
    17St Etienne32761935:74-3927
    18Montpellier ✔ 32442422:72-5016

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Olympique Marseille - Lorient?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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