Lobos UPNFM vs Olimpia Tegucigalpa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Honduras Liga Nacional Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa
05/10/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Lobos UPNFM
16.8%
Draw
23.7%
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.1% 25.3% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 25.1% 54%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Tegucigalpa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Tegucigalpa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.41
    (4.29)
    3.83
    (3.58)
    1.52
    (1.69)
    10.2%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 0.
    • Lobos UPNFM has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Olimpia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Olimpia is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:38. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM 2:0
    05.03.2025 Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM 2:0
    18.01.2025 Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa 0:1
    09.11.2024 Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa 0:2
    13.09.2024 Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM 3:1
    Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
    27.09.2025 Génesis PN - Lobos UPNFM 2:3
    21.09.2025 Real España - Lobos UPNFM 2:0
    18.09.2025 Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón 2:2
    13.09.2025 Motagua - Lobos UPNFM 3:3
    10.09.2025 Lobos UPNFM - Olancho 1:1
    Latest results of Olimpia Tegucigalpa
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia1173126:131324
    2Marathon1155123:101320
    3Olancho1155124:15920
    4UPNFM1144318:19-116
    5Platense1143419:13615
    6Real Espana1143416:13315
    7Motagua1043317:16115
    8Juticalpa1145214:18-413
    9Genesis1123613:18-59
    10Choloma1121812:32-207
    11Victoria1111910:25-154

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )

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