Vélez Sársfield vs Olimpia Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores
Soccer Copa Libertadores Vélez Sársfield - Olimpia Asuncion
Result
1:1
08/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
Vélez Sársfield - Olimpia Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.87
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
75% (301/402)73% (310/427)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.87
xG on target (xGOT)
1.420.79
Total shots
812
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
35
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1621
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
75% (301/402)73% (310/427)
Long passes
36% (20/56)36% (20/55)
Passes in final third
65% (71/109)58% (59/101)
Crosses
17% (2/12)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.54
Throw-ins
2327
Fouls
1610
Tackles
44% (12/27)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5870
Clearances
4218
Interceptions
1413
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.791.42
Goals prevented
-0.110.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Ortiz R. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Carrizo M. ⚽, Pizzini F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Olmedo C. ↓, Abreu L. ↑,
  • 65', Gordon J. 🟨,
  • 68', Pizzini F. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
  • 69', Redes R. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
  • 69', Benitez Sanchez H. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
  • 72', Ordonez C. ↓, Vazquez K. A. ↑,
  • 73', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
  • 80', Gordon J. ↓, Silvero T. ↑,
  • 80', Carrizo M. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
  • 85', Leguizamon I. ↓, Fernandez H. ↑,
  • 85', Dominguez J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
  • 85', Montoro A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Fernandez H. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
55.2%		Draw
27.6%		Olimpia Asuncion
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 25.9% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 25.9% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
    •

    Vélez Sársfield - Olimpia Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.72 ↑
    (1.67)    		 3.44 ↓
    (3.65)    		 5.46 ↑
    (5.38)    		 5.6%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Olimpia Asuncion?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Vélez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Olimpia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Vélez is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Monzon F. (Knee Injury) Porcel M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vélez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Vélez Sársfield 0:4
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    04.05.2025 River Plate - Vélez Sársfield 4:1 ✺
    28.04.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0 ✺
    23.04.2025 San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Vélez Sársfield 2:1 ✺
    18.04.2025 Talleres de Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield 0:1 ✺
    14.04.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
    03.05.2025 Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion 1:2 ✺
    28.04.2025 Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion 1:1 ✺
    23.04.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 3:1
    16.04.2025 Atlético Tembetary - Olimpia Asuncion 0:1 ✺
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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