Olimpia Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

17/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb (Asunción).

: Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 8
Referee: Benitez C. (Par)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	1.14
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
14	17
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
77% (298/389)	71% (197/276)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	1.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.40	0.92
Total shots
14	17
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
9	8
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
9	13
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
2	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
25	23
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
5	1
Free Kicks
15	14
Passes
77% (298/389)	71% (197/276)
Long passes
43% (30/69)	41% (24/58)
Passes in final third
56% (60/107)	61% (65/107)
Crosses
33% (9/27)	8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.82	0.83
Throw-ins
19	15
Fouls
15	15
Tackles
75% (6/8)	63% (5/8)
Duels won
61	52
Clearances
21	31
Interceptions
4	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
0.92	0.40
Goals prevented
0.92	0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Ortiz R. 🟨,
22', Morales L. 🟨,
42', Gimenez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bogarin J. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
50', Cardozo Lucena A. 🟨,
58', Gonzalez D. ↓, Abreu L. ↑,
59', Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↓, Redes R. ↑,
63', Santa C. R. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
63', Recalde J. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
66', Villalba R. 🟨,
69', Ortiz R. ↓, Leguizamon I. ↑,
78', Cardozo Lucena A. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
78', Fernandez M. ↓, Cardozo O. ↑,
80', Quintana H. ↓, Franco Zayas A. F. ↑,

Chances of winning

Olimpia Asuncion
46%

Draw
28.9%

Libertad Asuncion
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

29.2%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

31%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Asuncion's performance.

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Libertad Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Asuncion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Libertad Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.53)	3.21 ↑ (3.18)	3.67 ↑ (2.74)	6.7% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2.
Recent performances by Olimpia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Libertad is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Olimpia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Olimpia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Libertad Asuncion?

Olimpia Asuncion has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Olimpia Asuncion?

Libertad Asuncion has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:

21.05.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 1:1

15.03.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 2:1

22.01.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 2:1

20.10.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 0:1

11.08.2024 Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 4:0

Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion

10.08.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 4:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 2:3 ✺

30.07.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta 1:0 ✺

27.07.2025 Sportivo Ameliano - Olimpia Asuncion 1:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Libertad Asuncion

14.08.2025 Libertad Asuncion - River Plate 0:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta 1:1 ✺

04.08.2025 Sportivo Ameliano - Libertad Asuncion 0:4 ✺

31.07.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary 3:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Sportivo Trinidense - Libertad Asuncion 0:2 ✺

Paraguayan Primera Division Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cerro Porteno	9	6	2	1	18:12	6	20
2	Guarani	9	6	1	2	22:9	13	19
3	Sp. Luqueno	9	5	2	2	13:7	6	17
4	Sportivo Trinidense	10	5	2	3	15:13	2	17
5	Nacional Asuncion	10	4	4	2	11:8	3	16
6	Libertad Asuncion	9	3	3	3	10:8	2	12
7	General Caballero JLM	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11
8	2 de Mayo	9	2	4	3	10:13	-3	10
9	Recoleta	9	2	3	4	12:15	-3	9
10	Olimpia Asuncion	9	2	3	4	11:16	-5	9
11	Ameliano	10	2	2	6	10:18	-8	8
12	Atl. Tembetary	10	1	2	7	10:19	-9	5

Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports