Oleksandriya vs Karpaty Lviv: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ukrainian Premier League Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv
Result
0:2
04/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 8
  • Referee: Shurman D. (Ukr)
Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
33
Shots on target
11
Corner Kicks
41
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
33
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
41
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
58
Fouls
109

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Bruninho 🟨,
  • 26', Myshnyov D. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Bruninho (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Krasnopir I. , Neves I. ,
  • 65', Kulakov A. , Jhonnatan ,
  • 65', Kozak A. , Castillo B. ,
  • 68', Chachua A. 🟨,
  • 72', 0 - 2, Ferreira M. (Own goal),
  • 75', Chachua A. , Alvarez P. ,
  • 75', Kostenko Y. , Fabiano ,
  • 75', Tanda P. , Adamyuk V. ,
  • 79', Baboglo V. 🟨,
  • 84', Skorko D. 🟨,
  • 86', Behiratche J. 🟨,
  • 88', Skorko D. , Shulyanskyi A. ,

Chances of winning


Oleksandriya
29.3%
Draw
26%
Karpaty Lviv
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 29.7% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 30.1% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oleksandriya's form might have worsened.
  • Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karpaty Lviv's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oleksandriya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karpaty Lviv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.18
    (2.54)
    3.57
    (3.01)
    2.08
    (2.54)
    7.5%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Oleksandriya will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Karpaty will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 11)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oleksandriya won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Karpaty is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Oleksandriya won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:13. (average 2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oleksandriya won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya 2:1
    09.11.2024 Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv 3:0
    Latest results of Oleksandriya
    Latest results of Karpaty Lviv
    27.09.2025 Karpaty Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv 3:3
    22.09.2025 Obolon - Karpaty Lviv 0:2
    14.09.2025 Karpaty Lviv - Poltava 1:1
    29.08.2025 Kudrivka - Karpaty Lviv 2:2
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kryvbas961218:12619
    2Shakhtar Donetsk953115:8718
    3Dyn. Kyiv945023:121117
    4Polissya Zhytomyr951314:8616
    5Metalist 1925843111:5615
    6LNZ Cherkasy84229:7214
    7Kolos Kovalivka84228:6214
    8Obolon93429:9013
    9FK Zorya Luhansk933312:11112
    10Karpaty Lviv825114:12211
    11Kudrivka831412:14-210
    12Veres-Rivne82246:9-38
    13Oleksandriya82159:15-67
    14Rukh Lviv92077:18-116
    15SC Poltava91176:19-134
    16Epitsentr81078:16-83

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, UPL TV
    worldWorldOnefootball
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