Oldham Athletic vs Swindon Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Oldham Athletic - Swindon Town
Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 3
  • Referee: Rollason G. (Eng)
Oldham Athletic - Swindon Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.892.01
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
66% (220/333)64% (189/296)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
0.892.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.401.34
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
75
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2829
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
109
Passes
66% (220/333)64% (189/296)
Long passes
47% (42/90)36% (32/88)
Passes in final third
56% (93/167)54% (68/125)
Crosses
25% (8/32)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.951.38
Throw-ins
3623
Fouls
911
Tackles
67% (10/15)60% (9/15)
Duels won
6968
Clearances
4247
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.340.40
Goals prevented
-0.66-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Snowdon J. ,
  • 19', 0 - 2, Nichols T. , Snowdon J. (A),
  • 23', Nichols T. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 2, Quigley J. , Conlon T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', McGregor J. 🟨,
  • 61', Wilson-Brown T. , Mabete F. ,
  • 61', Sutton W. , Morris K. ,
  • 69', Hannant L. , Hawkes J. ,
  • 75', Nichols T. , McGregor J. ,
  • 75', Ehibhatiomhan P. , Glatzel P. ,
  • 75', Snowdon J. , Bodin B. ,
  • 82', Drinan A. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 84', Fondop-Talum M. , Harratt K. ,
  • 90+2', Wright W. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Oldham Athletic
32.6%
Draw
29.2%
Swindon Town
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 28.9% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 28.9% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Oldham Athletic - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.62)
    3.32
    (3.25)
    2.5
    (2.66)
    3.5%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: Oldham Athletic will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Oldham Athletic will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 0.
    • Oldham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Swindon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Swindon has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Swindon: Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Ehibhatiomhan P. (Injury) Ripley C. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
    Latest results of Oldham Athletic
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham64209:3614
    2Chesterfield641111:8313
    3Bromley633010:5512
    4Crewe640210:6412
    5Swindon640211:8312
    6Walsall64026:4212
    7MK Dons632110:3711
    8Grimsby632110:6411
    9Fleetwood63219:8111
    10Cambridge Utd63128:6210
    11Salford63127:7010
    12Tranmere52219:458
    13Notts Co622211:928
    14Harrogate62227:8-18
    15Barnet62135:7-27
    16Bristol Rovers62134:6-27
    17Colchester61326:7-16
    18Barrow62044:6-26
    19Oldham60423:5-24
    20Newport61145:9-44
    21Accrington50323:6-33
    22Crawley60244:11-72
    23Shrewsbury60242:12-102
    24Cheltenham60152:12-101

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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