Oldham Athletic vs Gillingham: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Oldham Athletic - Gillingham
Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 6
  • Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)
Oldham Athletic - Gillingham - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.42
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
73% (285/392)68% (214/317)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.60
Total shots
108
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2318
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
73% (285/392)68% (214/317)
Long passes
43% (41/95)38% (33/88)
Passes in final third
62% (102/165)48% (69/143)
Crosses
23% (7/30)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.75
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
1116
Tackles
24% (4/17)67% (12/18)
Duels won
6768
Clearances
2335
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.600.62
Goals prevented
-0.400.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 1', Quigley J. 🟨,
  • 20', Hannant L. 🟨,
  • 24', Dack B. 🟨,
  • 28', Woods R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Gale S. 🟨,
  • 57', Harratt K. , Hawkes J. ,
  • 63', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 66', Nevitt E. , Rowe A. ,
  • 66', Dack B. , Beszant C. ,
  • 67', Hutton R. , Gbode J. ,
  • 68', Hannant L. , Hammond O. ,
  • 71', 0 - 1, Vokes S. , Clark M. (A),
  • 79', Gbode J. 🟨,
  • 84', Sutton W. , Caprice J. ,
  • 89', Robson J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Monthe M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Oldham Athletic
38.2%
Draw
31%
Gillingham
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 30.3% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 31.9% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Oldham Athletic - Gillingham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.37)
    3.01
    (3.12)
    3.02
    (3.15)
    6.8%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Gillingham?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 3.
    • Oldham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Gillingham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Oldham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Gillingham has had a series of home games.
    • Oldham will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oldham: Morris K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Ogie S. (Inactive) Palmer-Houlden S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
    Latest results of Oldham Athletic
    Latest results of Gillingham
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham963015:6921
    2Salford961216:11519
    3Walsall961212:7519
    4Swindon960319:13618
    5Chesterfield943214:12215
    6Grimsby943214:12215
    7Notts Co942316:10614
    8Bromley935114:10414
    9Cambridge Utd942311:9214
    10Bristol Rovers942310:10014
    11Oldham93428:5313
    12Crewe941412:10213
    13Barnet941411:11013
    14MK Dons933314:9512
    15Fleetwood933311:12-112
    16Harrogate932410:12-211
    17Tranmere823313:1219
    18Accrington82336:8-29
    19Barrow93067:11-49
    20Colchester91538:10-28
    21Crawley92257:15-88
    22Newport91269:16-75
    23Shrewsbury91266:18-125
    24Cheltenham91173:17-144

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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