Olancho vs Choloma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Honduras Liga Nacional Olancho - Choloma
Result
6:2
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 11
Olancho - Choloma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
74
Corner Kicks
105
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
87
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
13
Corner Kicks
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (5 - 1)
  • 9', Nunez M. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Almendarez O. ,
  • 25', 2 - 0, Cabrera Y. A. ,
  • 30', 3 - 0, Cabrera Y. A. ,
  • 31', Lasso J. , Munoz N. ,
  • 33', 3 - 1, Aceituno M. (Pen),
  • 41', 4 - 1, De Olivera R. ,
  • 43', 5 - 1, Cabrera Y. A. ,
  • 45+1', De Olivera R. , Ramirez Arauz M. R. ,
  • 45+1', Almendarez O. , Sander R. ,
  • 45+1', Abbott K. , Castillo B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Franco J. , Arias I. ,
  • 46', Nunez M. , Santos Y. ,
  • 46', Zamora J. , Leveron J. ,
  • 54', 6 - 1, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ,
  • 59', Martinez D. , Mejia Y. ,
  • 70', Aceituno M. , Palma E. ,
  • 70', Argueta G. , Banegas ,
  • 74', 6 - 2, Felix B. ,

Chances of winning


Olancho
77.3%
Draw
15%
Choloma
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 21.7% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68% 20.6% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olancho's performance.
  • Choloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Choloma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olancho that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Choloma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Olancho - Choloma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.2
    (1.41)
    6.18
    (4.2)
    12.06
    (6.6)
    8%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 10).
    • Olancho is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Choloma has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Olancho is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Olancho will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Olancho
    14.09.2025 Olancho - Platense 2:1
    10.09.2025 Lobos UPNFM - Olancho 1:1
    24.08.2025 Olancho - CD Marathón 1:1
    16.08.2025 Génesis PN - Olancho 1:3
    Latest results of Choloma
    14.09.2025 CD Marathón - Choloma 1:0
    10.09.2025 Choloma - Motagua 0:3
    31.08.2025 Platense - Choloma 3:0
    23.08.2025 Choloma - Génesis PN 2:1
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia1173126:131324
    2Marathon1265126:111523
    3Olancho1256126:17921
    4Motagua1153321:19218
    5UPNFM1144318:19-116
    6Platense1143419:13615
    7Real Espana1143416:13315
    8Juticalpa1245315:21-613
    9Genesis1223716:22-69
    10Choloma1121812:32-207
    11Victoria1212912:27-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )

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