Result
2:1
13/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Premier League - Round 16
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Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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66% | 34% |
Total shots |
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14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 1 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Total shots |
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14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 1 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 12 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 20 |
Fouls |
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10 | 12 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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0 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', Chesnokov I. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Zhumat D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', Marat D. 🟨,
- 61', Zhagorov N. ↓, Asrankulov R. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Zhumashev Z. ⚽, Signevich N. (A),
- 68', Marat D. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Zhumashev Z. ⚽, Signevich N. (A),
- 77', Zhumabekov S. ↓, Prokopenko V. ↑,
- 78', El Messaoudi A. ↓, Zuev A. ↑,
- 78', Tagybergen A. ↓, Victor Braga ↑,
- 80', Cuckic N. 🟨,
- 85', Adakhadziev A. ↓, Shamshi B. ↑,
- 85', Mukhammed A. ↓, Tazhibay B. ↑,
- 89', Ashirbek A. 🟨,
- 90', Zhumashev Z. ↓, Galym B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tobol Kostanay 62% | Draw 22.6% | Okzhetpes 15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+2%)
Tobol Kostanay - Okzhetpes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.49 ↓ (1.53) |
4.08 ↓ (4.52) |
5.97 ↑ (5.32) |
8.5% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 and 6)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 5.
- Tobol is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Okzhetpes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tobol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tobol is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Tobol will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:11. (average 1.5:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Okzhetpes?
Tobol Kostanay has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Okzhetpes won against Tobol Kostanay?
Okzhetpes has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tobol Kostanay - Okzhetpes were as follows:
05.04.2025
Okzhetpes
-
Tobol Kostanay
0:1
23.07.2023
Tobol Kostanay
-
Okzhetpes
2:0
28.05.2023
Okzhetpes
-
Tobol Kostanay
1:2
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Latest results of Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Astana | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41:16 | 25 | 40 |
2 | Kairat Almaty | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 35:13 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Tobol | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 29:13 | 16 | 35 |
4 | Aktobe | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 26:12 | 14 | 33 |
5 | Okzhetpes | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25:24 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Yelimay Semey | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Zhenis | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 23 |
8 | Ordabasy | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 23 |
9 | Kyzylzhar | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 19 |
10 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 16 |
11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 |
12 | Ulytau | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10:24 | -14 | 13 |
13 | Turan | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 13:33 | -20 | 11 |
14 | Atyrau | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10:37 | -27 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
Which TV channels are streaming of Tobol Kostanay - Okzhetpes?
It is being streamed on channel
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Kazakhstan | Qazsport |