Nürnberg vs Paderborn: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Nürnberg - Paderborn
Result
2:3
19/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 30
  • Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
Nürnberg - Paderborn - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.27
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
316
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
89% (501/562)87% (338/390)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.731.52
Total shots
316
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
09
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
628
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1710
Passes
89% (501/562)87% (338/390)
Long passes
46% (16/35)65% (31/48)
Passes in final third
74% (56/76)74% (88/119)
Crosses
18% (2/11)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.40
Fouls
1017
Tackles
67% (14/21)50% (11/22)
Duels won
4349
Clearances Total
1410
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.521.73
Goals prevented
-1.48-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Emreli M. , Justvan J. (A),
  • 18', Castrop J. , Schleimer L. ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Scheller T. , Obermair R. (A),
  • 41', Ansah I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 1 - 2, Ansah I. , Zehnter A. (A),
  • 65', Grimaldi A. , Michel S. ,
  • 66', Karafiat O. , Forkel D. ,
  • 70', Obermair R. 🟨,
  • 73', Mehlem M. , Curda L. ,
  • 74', Scheller T. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Michel S. ,
  • 81', Justvan J. 🟨,
  • 81', Lubach R. 🟨,
  • 86', Ansah I. , Terho C. ,
  • 86', Obermair R. , Herrmann L. ,
  • 86', Bilbija F. , Engelns L. ,
  • 88', Janisch T. , Villadsen O. ,
  • 88', Jander C. , Serra J. ,
  • 88', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Emreli M. , Justvan J. (A),
  • 90+4', Terho C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nürnberg
27.2%
Draw
25.3%
Paderborn
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 26.1% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 25.9% 46.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Nürnberg - Paderborn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (3.42)
    3.73
    (3.6)
    1.99
    (2.02)
    5.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Paderborn?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 3.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Nürnberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Paderborn will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Antiste J. (Red Card) Knoche R. (Calf Injury) Tzimas S. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Brackelmann C. (Muscle Injury) Castaneda S. (Red Card) Platte F. (Back Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:13 (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nürnberg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Paderborn were as follows:
    22.11.2024 Paderborn - Nürnberg 3:2
    19.04.2024 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:2
    11.11.2023 Paderborn - Nürnberg 1:3
    28.05.2023 Paderborn - Nürnberg 0:1
    13.11.2022 Nürnberg - Paderborn 2:1
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    Latest results of Paderborn
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1SaarbruckenBraunschweig2 : 2, 0 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Nürnberg - Paderborn?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaNew World Sport 1
    asiaAsiaTOD
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
    franceFranceNew World TV
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    polandPolandViaplay
    romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
    worldWorldOnefootball
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