Nürnberg vs Paderborn: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Nürnberg - Paderborn
Result
2:3
19/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 30
  • Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
Nürnberg - Paderborn - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.27
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
316
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
89% (501/562)87% (338/390)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.731.52
Total shots
316
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
09
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
628
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1710
Passes
89% (501/562)87% (338/390)
Long passes
46% (16/35)65% (31/48)
Passes in final third
74% (56/76)74% (88/119)
Crosses
18% (2/11)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.40
Fouls
1017
Tackles
67% (14/21)50% (11/22)
Duels won
4349
Clearances Total
1410
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.521.73
Goals prevented
-1.48-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Emreli M. , Justvan J. (A),
  • 18', Castrop J. , Schleimer L. ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Scheller T. , Obermair R. (A),
  • 41', Ansah I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 1 - 2, Ansah I. , Zehnter A. (A),
  • 65', Grimaldi A. , Michel S. ,
  • 66', Karafiat O. , Forkel D. ,
  • 70', Obermair R. 🟨,
  • 73', Mehlem M. , Curda L. ,
  • 74', Scheller T. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Michel S. ,
  • 81', Justvan J. 🟨,
  • 81', Lubach R. 🟨,
  • 86', Ansah I. , Terho C. ,
  • 86', Obermair R. , Herrmann L. ,
  • 86', Bilbija F. , Engelns L. ,
  • 88', Janisch T. , Villadsen O. ,
  • 88', Jander C. , Serra J. ,
  • 88', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Emreli M. , Justvan J. (A),
  • 90+4', Terho C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nürnberg 27.2%Draw 25.3%Paderborn 47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Nürnberg 27.4%Draw 26.1%Paderborn 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Nürnberg 27.6%Draw 25.9%Paderborn 46.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Nürnberg - Paderborn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (3.42)
    3.73
    (3.6)
    1.99
    (2.02)
    5.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Paderborn?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 3.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Nürnberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Paderborn will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Antiste J. (Red Card) Knoche R. (Calf Injury) Tzimas S. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Brackelmann C. (Muscle Injury) Castaneda S. (Red Card) Platte F. (Back Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:13 (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nürnberg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Paderborn were as follows:
    22.11.2024 Paderborn - Nürnberg 3:2
    19.04.2024 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:2
    11.11.2023 Paderborn - Nürnberg 1:3
    28.05.2023 Paderborn - Nürnberg 0:1
    13.11.2022 Nürnberg - Paderborn 2:1
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    Latest results of Paderborn
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hamburger SV321511670:403056
    2FC Koln32167947:371055
    3Elversberg321410859:362352
    4Paderborn321410854:421252
    5Magdeburg321311859:481150
    6Dusseldorf321311853:48550
    7Kaiserslautern321481054:50450
    8Hannover321310939:34549
    9Karlsruher SC321391052:53-148
    10Nurnberg321361355:54145
    11Hertha Berlin321271348:48043
    12Darmstadt321091352:52039
    13Schalke321081451:58-738
    14Greuther Furth32981541:56-1535
    15Braunschweig328111337:57-2035
    16Preussen Munster327111436:41-532
    17Ulm326111533:40-729
    18Regensburg ✔ 32662020:66-4624

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Regensburg is Relegated to 3. Liga
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