Nürnberg vs Paderborn: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Nürnberg - Paderborn
Result
0:0
29/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 4
  • Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)
Nürnberg - Paderborn - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.19
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
83% (322/390)81% (356/439)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.110.70
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
76
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2231
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
912
Passes
83% (322/390)81% (356/439)
Long passes
39% (17/44)65% (28/43)
Passes in final third
74% (80/108)59% (58/98)
Crosses
8% (2/24)67% (14/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.99
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
1210
Tackles
87% (13/15)75% (18/24)
Duels won
5068
Clearances
2230
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.701.11
Goals prevented
-0.301.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Telalovic S. 🟨,
  • 43', Gotze F. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Engelns L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Janisch T. , Biron M. ,
  • 60', Hoffmeier M. 🟨,
  • 63', Tigges S. , Copado L. ,
  • 63', Engelns L. , Klaas S. ,
  • 67', Baur M. , Batzner N. ,
  • 67', Bilbija F. , Michel S. ,
  • 70', Gruber F. 🟨,
  • 72', Justvan J. 🟨,
  • 76', Telalovic S. , Stepanov A. ,
  • 84', Michel S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Hoffmeier M. , Worner M. ,
  • 90+5', Becker F. O. , Baack T. ,

Chances of winning


Nürnberg
29.9%
Draw
26%
Paderborn
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.6% 25% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 24.1% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Nürnberg - Paderborn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (3.3)
    3.61
    (3.78)
    2.14
    (2.03)
    6.1%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Paderborn?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Paderborn will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 2.
    • Nürnberg is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Paderborn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Paderborn might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Janisch T. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Muscle Injury) Kinsombi D. (Thigh Injury) Muller R. (Muscle Injury) Scheller T. (Red Card) Vega Zambrano J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paderborn: Tigges S. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Paderborn will win today's game, with odds of 2.16.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Paderborn were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 2:3
    22.11.2024 Paderborn - Nürnberg 3:2
    19.04.2024 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:2
    11.11.2023 Paderborn - Nürnberg 1:3
    28.05.2023 Paderborn - Nürnberg 0:1
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    Latest results of Paderborn
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hannover44008:2612
    2Schalke43015:329
    3Elversberg43015:329
    4Karlsruher SC42205:238
    5Arminia Bielefeld42119:457
    6Darmstadt42116:427
    7Preussen Munster42117:617
    8Braunschweig42115:507
    9Kaiserslautern42025:416
    10Greuther Furth420210:11-16
    11Paderborn41214:405
    12Dusseldorf41123:8-54
    13SG Dynamo Dresden41035:7-23
    14Holstein Kiel41034:6-23
    15Magdeburg41037:10-33
    16Bochum41035:8-33
    17Hertha Berlin40221:4-32
    18Nurnberg40131:4-31

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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