Nürnberg vs Hertha Berlin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin
Result
0:3
28/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 7
  • Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)
Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.16
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
84% (404/483)78% (221/285)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.561.44
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2823
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
2212
Passes
84% (404/483)78% (221/285)
Long passes
50% (23/46)56% (31/55)
Passes in final third
61% (74/121)61% (47/77)
Crosses
14% (3/22)67% (6/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.68
Throw-ins
2030
Fouls
1222
Tackles
83% (10/12)47% (9/19)
Duels won
5551
Clearances
1447
Interceptions
1018
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.440.56
Goals prevented
-1.560.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Winkler M. , Reese F. (A),
  • 37', Markhiev A. , Stepanov A. ,
  • 41', 0 - 2, Cuisance M. ,
  • 45+5', Reese F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Eichhorn K. 🟨,
  • 59', Dardai M. 🟨,
  • 63', Eichhorn K. , Jensen L. ,
  • 63', Gronning S. , Kownacki D. ,
  • 70', Demba P. , Grimaldi A. ,
  • 70', Lochoshvili L. , Janisch T. ,
  • 77', Drexler T. 🟨,
  • 82', Cuisance M. , Mamuzah Lum B. ,
  • 85', 0 - 3, Kownacki D. , Reese F. (A),
  • 89', Dardai M. , Eitschberger J. ,
  • 89', Zoma M. A. , Biron M. ,
  • 90', Becker F. O. , Grzywacz E. ,
  • 90', Kownacki D. , Krattenmacher M. ,
  • 90+2', Grzywacz E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nürnberg
37.3%
Draw
26.7%
Hertha Berlin
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 26.3% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 25.9% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nürnberg's performance.
  • Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hertha Berlin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nürnberg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hertha Berlin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.77
    (3.1)
    3.75
    (3.5)
    2.66
    (2.1)
    0.3%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Hertha will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1.
    • Nürnberg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hertha's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Buchmann T. (Foot Injury) Maboulou N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. (Ankle Injury) Demme D. (Head Injury) Gersbeck M. (Injury) Goller T. (Shoulder Injury) Karbownik M. (Ankle Injury) Klemens P. (Ankle Injury) Kolbe N. (Broken rib) Seguin P. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hertha: Kownacki D. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin were as follows:
    21.02.2025 Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg 0:0
    21.09.2024 Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin 0:2
    30.03.2024 Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg 3:3
    22.10.2023 Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin 3:1
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    20.09.2025 Nürnberg - Bochum 2:1
    13.09.2025 Karlsruher - Nürnberg 2:1
    29.08.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:0
    16.08.2025 Illertissen - Nürnberg 4:3
    Latest results of Hertha Berlin
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt751113:5816
    2Elversberg751112:6616
    3Hannover751113:8516
    4Schalke75028:4415
    5Paderborn74219:4514
    6Karlsruher SC74218:6214
    7Kaiserslautern740312:7512
    8Arminia Bielefeld731313:10310
    9Preussen Munster731312:13-110
    10Dusseldorf73136:12-610
    11Holstein Kiel73048:719
    12Greuther Furth730413:16-39
    13Hertha Berlin72237:618
    14Braunschweig72148:14-67
    15SG Dynamo Dresden71249:13-45
    16Nurnberg71154:10-64
    17Bochum71066:12-63
    18Magdeburg71067:15-83

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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