Nürnberg vs Hamburger SV: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Nürnberg - Hamburger SV
Result
0:3
05/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 28
  • Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)
Nürnberg - Hamburger SV - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.672.76
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
924
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
86% (337/392)90% (530/590)
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.672.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.422.81
Total shots
924
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
313
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
821
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
2045
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
105
Passes
86% (337/392)90% (530/590)
Long passes
49% (22/45)61% (14/23)
Passes in final third
71% (46/65)83% (180/216)
Crosses
36% (4/11)25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.502.45
Fouls
510
Tackles
50% (10/20)47% (15/32)
Duels won
4856
Clearances Total
3123
Interceptions
112
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.810.42
Goals prevented
-0.190.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Dompe J. ,
  • 9', Janisch T. 🟨,
  • 9', Dompe J. 🟨,
  • 16', Antiste J. 🟥,
  • 23', Seidel N. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 2, Dompe J. , Reis L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Jander C. 🟨,
  • 57', Schleimer L. , Emreli M. ,
  • 58', Karafiat O. , Forkel D. ,
  • 63', Lubach R. 🟨,
  • 63', Konigsdorffer R. , Glatzel R. ,
  • 64', Karabec A. , Richter M. ,
  • 76', Yilmaz B. , Danilo Soares ,
  • 76', Lubach R. , Flick F. ,
  • 78', Emreli M. 🟨,
  • 81', Sahiti E. , Balde F. ,
  • 81', Muheim M. , Hefti S. ,
  • 84', Janisch T. , Villadsen O. ,
  • 84', 0 - 3, Glatzel R. , Dompe J. (A),
  • 87', Dompe J. , Stange O. ,
  • 88', Reis L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nürnberg
25.1%
Draw
23.8%
Hamburger SV
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 25% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 25.1% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamburger SV's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamburger SV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nürnberg - Hamburger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.77
    (3.16)
    3.94
    (3.76)
    1.85
    (2.08)
    5.9%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Hamburger SV?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 0.
    • Recent matches Nürnberg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Hamburg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Hamburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Hamburg will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Castrop J. (Yellow Cards) Knoche R. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Raab M. (Broken Hand) Soumahoro A. (Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nürnberg: Tzimas S. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Hamburg: Dompe J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Hadzikadunic D. (Injury) Meffert J. (Broken nose) Selke D. (Illness)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 15:41 (average 0.8:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nürnberg won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:19 (average 0.7:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Hamburger SV were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Hamburger SV - Nürnberg 1:1
    19.05.2024 Hamburger SV - Nürnberg 4:1
    16.12.2023 Nürnberg - Hamburger SV 0:2
    04.03.2023 Hamburger SV - Nürnberg 3:0
    27.08.2022 Nürnberg - Hamburger SV 0:2
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hamburger SV ✔ 331611676:413559
    2FC Koln33177949:381158
    3Elversberg331510862:362655
    4Paderborn331510856:431355
    5Dusseldorf331411855:48753
    6Kaiserslautern331581056:51553
    7Magdeburg331311960:501050
    8Hannover331311940:35550
    9Karlsruher SC3313101054:55-149
    10Nurnberg331361456:56045
    11Hertha Berlin331271448:50-243
    12Darmstadt331091453:54-139
    13Schalke331081551:60-938
    14Greuther Furth33991542:57-1536
    15Preussen Munster338111438:41-335
    16Braunschweig338111437:60-2335
    17Ulm ✔ 336111634:46-1229
    18Regensburg ✔ 33672022:68-4625

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Hamburger SV is Qualified for Bundesliga
    Ulm is Relegated to 3. Liga
    Regensburg is Relegated to 3. Liga
    Which TV channels are streaming of Nürnberg - Hamburger SV?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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