Nuno Borges vs Pablo Carreno-Busta: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/04/2025 at 06:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Match Stats


Aces
10	3
Double Faults
2	2
1st Serve Percentage
59%	57%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (50/63)	77% (43/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
65% (28/43)	65% (28/43)
Break Points Saved
100% (2/2)	75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
23% (13/56)	21% (13/63)
2nd Return Points Won
35% (15/43)	35% (15/43)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)	0% (0/2)
Winners
42	21
Unforced Errors
29	23
Net Points Won
92% (12/13)	67% (10/15)
Service Points Won
74% (78/106)	72% (71/99)
Return Points Won
28% (28/99)	26% (28/106)
Total Points Won
52% (106/205)	48% (99/205)
Last 10 Balls
6	4
Match Points Saved
1	0
Service Games Won
100% (17/17)	94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)	0% (0/17)
Total Games Won
55% (18/33)	45% (15/33)

Chances of winning

Nuno Borges
54.4%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuno Borges, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nuno Borges - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.58)		2.06 ↓ (2.18)	5.1% (9.2%)

What is the prediction for Nuno Borges - Pablo Carreno-Busta?

The most likely score is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Borges is ranked ATP: 41. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 96.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Carreno Busta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
Recently, the players did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Nuno Borges won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?

Nuno Borges has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Nuno Borges?

Pablo Carreno-Busta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nuno Borges - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:

Latest results of Nuno Borges

10.04.2025 Nuno Borges - Stefanos Tsitsipas 0:2 ✺

09.04.2025 Nuno Borges - Pedro Martinez Portero 2:1 ✺

08.04.2025 Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Nuno Borges Rune H. retired ✺

04.04.2025 Roberto Carballes Baena - Nuno Borges 2:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Raphael Collignon - Nuno Borges 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta

15.04.2025 Pablo Carreno-Busta - Arthur Fils 0:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Pablo Carreno-Busta - Kamil Majchrzak 1:2 ✺

10.04.2025 Pablo Carreno-Busta - Calvin Hemery 2:1 ✺

08.04.2025 Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jakub Paul 2:0 ✺

03.04.2025 Tallon Griekspoor - Pablo Carreno-Busta 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Bautista-Agut R.	Munar J.	2 : 1
3	Borges N.	Carreno-Busta P. (WC)	2 : 1
4	Bye	Davidovich Fokina A. (28)
5	Cerundolo F. (20)	Bye
6	Moutet C. (RET.)	Mayot H. (Q)	0 : 1
7	Comesana F.	Martinez P.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Fils A. (13)
9	Shelton B. (12)	Bye
10	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Navone M.	0 : 2
11	Lajovic D. (Q)	Quinn E. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Bye	Mensik J. (22)
13	Popyrin A. (25)	Bye
14	Michelsen A.	Bublik A.	0 : 2
15	Monfils G.	Gojo B. (Q)	2 : 1
16	Bye	Rublev A. (7)
17	Fritz T. (3)	Bye
18	O'Connell C.	Ugo Carabelli C.	2 : 0
19	Bonzi B.	Cilic M. (WC)	2 : 0
20	Bye	Hurkacz H. (27)
21	Korda S. (23)	Bye
22	Cina F. (WC)	Wong C. (WC)	2 : 0
23	Safiullin R.	Rinderknech A.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Ruud C. (14)
25	Medvedev D. (9)	Bye
26	Fognini F. (Q)	Djere L.	0 : 2
27	Cerundolo J. M. (Q)	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
28	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)
29	Nakashima B. (31)	Bye
30	Ofner S. (PR)	Gaston H. (Q)	2 : 0
31	Marozsan F.	Cobolli F.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Rune H. (8)
33	Draper J. (5)	Bye
34	Griekspoor T.	Kopriva V. (Q)	2 : 0
35	Tien L.	Giron M.	1 : 2
36	Bye	Berrettini M. (30)
37	Khachanov K. (24)	Bye
38	Opelka R. (PR)	Hijikata R. (LL)	2 : 0
39	Fonseca J.	Moller E. (Q)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Paul T. (11)
41	Tiafoe F. (16)	Bye
42	Halys Q.	Darderi L.	0 : 2
43	Goffin D. (RET.)	Muller A.	1 : 1
44	Bye	Humbert U. (21)
45	Baez S. (32)	Bye
46	Dzumhur D.	Bellucci M.	2 : 1
47	Arnaldi M.	Coric B. (Q)	2 : 1
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	De Minaur A. (6)	Bye
50	Sonego L.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 0
51	Vukic A.	Nishikori K.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Shapovalov D. (29)
53	Tsitsipas S. (17)	Bye
54	Van De Zandschulp B. (RET.) (LL)	Struff J-L.	1 : 1
55	Etcheverry T. M.	Medjedovic H.	2 : 1
56	Bye	Musetti L. (10)
57	Dimitrov G. (15)	Bye
58	Altmaier D. (Q)	Jarry N.	0 : 2
59	Bu Y.	Fearnley J. (Q)	0 : 2
60	Bye	Machac T. (19)
61	Lehecka J. (26)	Bye
62	Landaluce M. (WC)	Norrie C.	1 : 2
63	Bergs Z.	Diallo G. (LL)	0 : 2
64	Bye	Majchrzak K. (LL)

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bautista-Agut R.	2 : 0
2	Borges N.	Davidovich Fokina A. (28)	0 : 2
3	Cerundolo F. (20)	Mayot H.	2 : 0
4	Comesana F.	Fils A. (13)	2 : 0
5	Shelton B. (12)	Navone M.	2 : 1
6	Quinn E.	Mensik J. (22)	0 : 2
7	Popyrin A. (25)	Bublik A.	0 : 2
8	Monfils G.	Rublev A. (WO.) (7)
9	Fritz T. (3)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
10	Bonzi B.	Hurkacz H. (27)	2 : 0
11	Korda S. (23)	Cina F.	2 : 1
12	Rinderknech A.	Ruud C. (14)	0 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (WO.) (9)	Djere L.
14	Cerundolo J. M.	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	2 : 0
15	Nakashima B. (31)	Ofner S.	2 : 0
16	Cobolli F.	Rune H. (RET.) (8)	1 : 0
17	Draper J. (5)	Griekspoor T.	2 : 0
18	Giron M.	Berrettini M. (30)	1 : 2
19	Khachanov K. (24)	Opelka R.	2 : 0
20	Fonseca J.	Paul T. (11)	0 : 2
21	Tiafoe F. (16)	Darderi L. (RET.)	1 : 0
22	Muller A.	Humbert U. (21)	2 : 1
23	Baez S. (32)	Dzumhur D.	1 : 2
24	Arnaldi M.	Djokovic N. (4)	2 : 0
25	De Minaur A. (6)	Sonego L.	2 : 0
26	Nishikori K.	Shapovalov D. (29)	0 : 2
27	Tsitsipas S. (17)	Struff J-L.	2 : 1
28	Etcheverry T. M.	Musetti L. (10)	0 : 2
29	Dimitrov G. (15)	Jarry N.	2 : 0
30	Fearnley J.	Machac T. (19)	2 : 1
31	Lehecka J. (26)	Norrie C.	1 : 2
32	Diallo G. (LL)	Majchrzak K. (LL)	2 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Davidovich Fokina A. (28)	2 : 1
2	Cerundolo F. (20)	Comesana F.	2 : 0
3	Shelton B. (12)	Mensik J. (22)	0 : 2
4	Bublik A.	Rublev A. (7)	2 : 1
5	Fritz T. (3)	Bonzi B. (RET.)	1 : 1
6	Korda S. (23)	Ruud C. (14)	0 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (9)	Cerundolo J. M.	2 : 0
8	Nakashima B. (31)	Cobolli F.	2 : 0
9	Draper J. (5)	Berrettini M. (RET.) (30)	1 : 0
10	Khachanov K. (24)	Paul T. (11)	1 : 2
11	Tiafoe F. (16)	Muller A.	2 : 0
12	Dzumhur D.	Arnaldi M.	0 : 2
13	De Minaur A. (6)	Shapovalov D. (29)	2 : 0
14	Tsitsipas S. (17)	Musetti L. (10)	0 : 2
15	Dimitrov G. (15)	Fearnley J.	2 : 0
16	Norrie C.	Diallo G.	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Cerundolo F. (20)	0 : 2
2	Mensik J. (22)	Bublik A.	2 : 0
3	Fritz T. (3)	Ruud C. (14)	0 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (9)	Nakashima B. (31)	2 : 1
5	Draper J. (5)	Paul T. (11)	2 : 0
6	Tiafoe F. (16)	Arnaldi M.	0 : 2
7	De Minaur A. (6)	Musetti L. (10)	0 : 2
8	Dimitrov G. (15)	Diallo G.	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Cerundolo F. (20)	Mensik J. (22)	2 : 1
2	Ruud C. (14)	Medvedev D. (9)	2 : 0
3	Draper J. (5)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
4	Musetti L. (10)	Diallo G.	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Cerundolo F. (20)	Ruud C. (14)	0 : 2
2	Draper J. (5)	Musetti L. (10)	2 : 0

Final

1

Ruud C. (14)

Draper J. (5)

2 : 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Nuno Borges - Pablo Carreno-Busta?

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