Ñublense vs Palestino: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Primera Division Ñublense - Palestino
Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Primera - Round 20
  • Referee: Carvajal R. (Chi)
Ñublense - Palestino - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.42
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
75% (237/316)85% (468/552)
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.650.63
Total shots
913
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1921
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
811
Passes
75% (237/316)85% (468/552)
Long passes
47% (27/57)59% (32/54)
Passes in final third
64% (63/98)80% (144/179)
Crosses
18% (2/11)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.37
Throw-ins
1020
Fouls
1310
Tackles
54% (13/24)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5454
Clearances
3715
Interceptions
145
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.630.65
Goals prevented
0.63-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Graciani G. , Reyes L. (A),
  • 9', Calderon P. 🟨,
  • 40', Rubio P. 🟨,
  • 41', Mateos F. 🟥,
  • 44', Fernandez J. 🟨,
  • 45', Molina L. , Valencia E. ,
  • 45+6', Parra P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Castro F. , Tapia Paez G. ,
  • 46', Fernandez J. , Martinez Arce A. E. ,
  • 47', Tapia D. 🟨,
  • 59', Parra P. , Arias J. ,
  • 59', Fernandez R. , Marabel J. ,
  • 63', Tapia Paez G. 🟨,
  • 69', Marabel J. 🟨,
  • 70', Garguez Gomez I. A. , Leon J. ,
  • 75', Rubio P. , Oyarzo Munoz B. ,
  • 82', Graciani G. 🟨,
  • 90', Plaza M. , Sosa G. ,
  • 90', Graciani G. , Saavedra D. ,
  • 90+3', Zuniga D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ñublense
41.6%
Draw
28.9%
Palestino
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 28.7% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 27.4% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Ñublense - Palestino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.25)
    3.33
    (3.2)
    3.31
    (3)
    3.8%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Ñublense - Palestino?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Palestino will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ñublense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Palestino were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Palestino - Ñublense 1:1
    14.04.2024 Ñublense - Palestino 0:2
    11.11.2023 Ñublense - Palestino 1:1
    10.09.2022 Ñublense - Palestino 2:0
    Latest results of Ñublense
    Latest results of Palestino
    01.08.2025 Audax Italiano - Palestino 1:1
    23.07.2025 Palestino - Bolívar 0:3
    16.07.2025 Bolívar - Palestino 3:0
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo22165134:112353
    2Palestino21116428:171139
    3U. De Chile21122744:222238
    4O'Higgins22108427:25238
    5A. Italiano22114735:30537
    6U. Catolica21106533:221136
    7Cobresal2195725:23232
    8Colo Colo2287732:26631
    9Huachipato2294932:31131
    10Nublense2178622:26-429
    11Union La Calera22651118:24-623
    12Everton2157924:31-722
    13La Serena22541325:41-1619
    14Limache22461225:34-918
    15U. Espanola22521521:40-1917
    16Deportes Iquique22351423:45-2214

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

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