Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga de Primera - Round 20
- Referee: Carvajal R. (Chi)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (237/316) | 85% (468/552) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (237/316) | 85% (468/552) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/57) | 59% (32/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (63/98) | 80% (144/179) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Graciani G. ⚽, Reyes L. (A),
- 9', Calderon P. 🟨,
- 40', Rubio P. 🟨,
- 41', Mateos F. 🟥,
- 44', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 45', Molina L. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 45+6', Parra P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Castro F. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
- 46', Fernandez J. ↓, Martinez Arce A. E. ↑,
- 47', Tapia D. 🟨,
- 59', Parra P. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 59', Fernandez R. ↓, Marabel J. ↑,
- 63', Tapia Paez G. 🟨,
- 69', Marabel J. 🟨,
- 70', Garguez Gomez I. A. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 75', Rubio P. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
- 82', Graciani G. 🟨,
- 90', Plaza M. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
- 90', Graciani G. ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
- 90+3', Zuniga D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ñublense
41.6% | Draw
28.9% | Palestino
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Ñublense - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.25) |
3.33 ↑
(3.2) |
3.31 ↑
(3) |
3.8%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Palestino?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Palestino will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ñublense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Palestino?
Ñublense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Ñublense?
Palestino has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Palestino were as follows:
01.09.2024
Palestino
-
Ñublense
1:1
14.04.2024
Ñublense
-
Palestino
0:2
11.11.2023
Ñublense
-
Palestino
1:1
10.09.2022
Ñublense
-
Palestino
2:0
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Palestino
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 36:12 | 24 | 56 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 29:26 | 3 | 41 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:21 | 9 | 39 |
| 6 | U. De Chile | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 44:22 | 22 | 38 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 31 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Nublense | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 22 |
| 13 | La Serena | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23:45 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
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