Portuguesa vs Nova Iguaçu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie D Portuguesa - Nova Iguaçu
Result
1:0
07/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 8
Portuguesa - Nova Iguaçu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
54
Red Cards
12
Total shots
98
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', 🟥,
  • 63', Eduardo Biazus 🟥,
  • 72', 🟥,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Lusa ,

Chances of winning


Portuguesa
54.3%
Draw
28.2%
Nova Iguaçu
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 25.2% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 24.3% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Portuguesa - Nova Iguaçu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.53)
    3.24
    (3.55)
    5.2
    (5.5)
    9.5%
    (11.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
    • Portuguesa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Nova Iguaçu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Portuguesa is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portuguesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa - Nova Iguaçu were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa 1:1
    Latest results of Portuguesa
    Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2025

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manauara ✔ 1375126:91726
    2Tuna Luso ✔ 1373322:101224
    3Aguia De Maraba1354421:13819
    4Trem1353523:23018
    5Independencia1353516:18-218
    6Manaus1245318:16217
    7GAS1342716:23-714
    8Humaita12111011:41-304


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AE Altos ✔ 1375122:13926
    2Imperatriz ✔ 1363414:13121
    3Sampaio Correa1355316:10620
    4Iguatu1352614:14017
    5Maranhao1337317:12516
    6Tocantinopolis1336411:16-515
    7Parnahyba1335514:19-514
    8Maracana1323811:22-119


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central SC ✔ 1374215:7825
    2America RN ✔ 1373319:91024
    3Santa Cruz ✔ 1373317:10724
    4Horizonte1352614:15-117
    5Ferroviario1352615:19-417
    6Santa Cruz de Natal1342711:19-814
    7Treze PB134187:17-1013
    8Sousa1333710:12-212


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ASA ✔ 1384124:81628
    2Lagarto ✔ 1372420:15523
    3Juazeirense1364312:12022
    4Sergipe1354415:10519
    5Jequie1344515:15016
    6Uniao Carmolandense1344513:16-316
    7Barcelona132569:19-1011
    8SC Penedense130584:17-135


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aparecidense ✔ 1392230:111929
    2Ceilandia ✔ 1374221:14725
    3Luverdense ✔ 1364313:12122
    4Mixto ✔ 1356219:13621
    5Capital1345413:10317
    6Goiania1324712:21-910
    7Goianesia1315711:20-98
    8Porto Velho131489:27-187


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa ✔ 1383219:13627
    2Rio Branco ES ✔ 1372416:9723
    3Marica1354414:11319
    4Agua Santa1353518:18018
    5Pouso Alegre1352613:16-317
    6Porto Vitoria1344513:12116
    7Nova Iguacu1335512:15-314
    8Boavista132389:20-119


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Limeira ✔ 1393121:61530
    2Goiatuba1354420:16419
    3Cianorte1354420:17319
    4Cascavel1346313:14-118
    5Uberlandia1344520:18216
    6Operario MS1335513:20-714
    7Monte Azul1325611:17-611
    8Itabirito1317510:20-1010


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barra FC ✔ 1382320:91126
    2EC Sao Jose ✔ 1374220:101025
    3Joinville1363410:9121
    4Marcilio Dias1355316:14220
    5Guarany de Bage134459:13-416
    6Brasil de Pelotas1341810:12-213
    7Sao Luiz1340910:20-1012
    8Azuriz133376:14-812

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Manauara is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Tuna Luso is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    AE Altos is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Imperatriz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Central SC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    America RN is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Lagarto is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Ceilandia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Luverdense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Mixto is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Portuguesa is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Rio Branco ES is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Inter de Limeira is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Barra FC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    EC Sao Jose is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
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