Portuguesa vs Nova Iguaçu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie D Portuguesa - Nova Iguaçu
Result
1:0
07/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 8
Portuguesa - Nova Iguaçu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
54
Red Cards
12
Total shots
98
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', 🟥,
  • 63', Eduardo Biazus 🟥,
  • 72', 🟥,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Lusa ,

Chances of winning


Portuguesa
54.3%
Draw
28.2%
Nova Iguaçu
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 25.2% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 24.3% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Portuguesa - Nova Iguaçu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.53)
    3.24
    (3.55)
    5.2
    (5.5)
    9.5%
    (11.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
    • Portuguesa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Nova Iguaçu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Portuguesa is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portuguesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa - Nova Iguaçu were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa 1:1
    Latest results of Portuguesa
    Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 0
    3GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 0
    4CianorteBarra FC0 : 0
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