Grimsby Town vs Notts County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Blundell Park (Cleethorpes).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 26
Referee: Nield T. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	1.36
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Goal Attempts
13	12
Shots on Goal
4	4
Shots off Goal
2	5
Blocked Shots
7	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Shots inside the Box
10	7
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
Free Kicks
12	7
Offsides
3	0
Fouls
7	12
Yellow Cards
1	0
Throw-ins
34	33
Touches in the Opposition Box
36	17
Passes
59% (176/297)	71% (275/385)
Passes in the final third
55% (71/130)	63% (76/120)
Crosses
12% (2/17)	33% (7/21)
Tackles
68% (17/25)	62% (18/29)
Clearances Total
16	21
Interceptions
19	13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Bass A. ↓, Slocombe S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Jatta A. ⚽,
60', Svanthorsson J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
60', Turi G. D. ↓, Thompson C. ↑,
64', McJannett C. ↓, Barrington L. ↑,
70', Whitaker C. ↓, McGoldrick D. ↑,
71', Burns D. 🟨,
80', Green K. ↓, Ainley C. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
90', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
90', Grant C. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Grimsby Town
41.6%

Draw
28.2%

Notts County
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

26.8%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

26.8%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grimsby Town's performance.

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Notts County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notts County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grimsby Town - Notts County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.74)	3.32 ↓ (3.51)	3.12 ↑ (2.42)	6.1% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Notts County?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 46.4% – 99%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2.
Recent matches Grimsby is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Notts County is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Notts County will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28:21 (average 2:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:8 (average 2.6:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Notts County?

Grimsby Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Grimsby Town?

Notts County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Notts County were as follows:

22.08.2024 Notts County - Grimsby Town 4:1

13.01.2024 Grimsby Town - Notts County 5:5

12.08.2023 Notts County - Grimsby Town 3:2

Latest results of Grimsby Town

08.03.2025 Walsall - Grimsby Town 1:3 ✺

04.03.2025 Grimsby Town - Tranmere Rovers 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town 2:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Grimsby Town 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Notts County

08.03.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Notts County 2:0 ✺

04.03.2025 Notts County - Barrow 1:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Fleetwood Town - Notts County 2:2 ✺

22.02.2025 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 2:1 ✺

18.02.2025 Notts County - Colchester United 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Grimsby Town - Notts County?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+