Notts County vs Crawley Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Notts County - Crawley Town
Result
4:0
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 9
  • Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
Notts County - Crawley Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.49
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
79% (315/398)81% (333/412)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.930.10
Total shots
128
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
169
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1812
Passes
79% (315/398)81% (333/412)
Long passes
27% (15/55)29% (12/41)
Passes in final third
71% (84/118)62% (53/85)
Crosses
20% (4/20)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.53
Throw-ins
2925
Fouls
1218
Tackles
79% (23/29)61% (11/18)
Duels won
6752
Clearances
1933
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.102.93
Goals prevented
0.10-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', McKirdy H. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Robertson S. , Palmer M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 47', Barker C. 🟨,
  • 53', Pereira D. , Dixon K. ,
  • 53', Brown R. , Holohan G. ,
  • 54', Tshimanga K. , Loft R. ,
  • 67', Grant C. , Hall T. ,
  • 67', Iorpenda T. , Luker J. ,
  • 71', 2 - 0, Hall T. , Luker J. (A),
  • 74', Jones J. , Cotter B. ,
  • 76', 3 - 0, Jatta A. , Luker J. (A),
  • 77', Adeyemo A. , Forster H. ,
  • 80', Tsaroulla N. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 90+2', 4 - 0, Hall T. , Luker J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
47.3%
Draw
25.7%
Crawley Town
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 24.1% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 25.5% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Notts County's form might have worsened.
  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crawley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Notts County - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.76)
    3.66
    (3.9)
    3.54
    (4.2)
    5.5%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
    • Recent performances by Notts County have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Crawley is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Crawley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Notts County might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Dennis M. (Injury) Gordon K. (Injury) Jarvis W. (Injury) Luker J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Brown R. (Injury) Cashman D. (Injury) Watson L. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 2.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Crawley Town were as follows:
    12.03.2024 Crawley Town - Notts County 2:1
    28.11.2023 Notts County - Crawley Town 3:1
    04.11.2023 Notts County - Crawley Town 3:2
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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