Notts County vs Chesterfield: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Notts County - Chesterfield
Result
1:2
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 37
  • Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
Notts County - Chesterfield - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.87
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
1310
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
43
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
64
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Free Kicks
1311
Offsides
10
Fouls
1113
Throw-ins
2414
Touches in the Opposition Box
2923
Passes
80% (370/464)75% (284/378)
Passes in the final third
74% (103/140)65% (89/136)
Crosses
21% (6/29)23% (3/13)
Tackles
70% (7/10)80% (8/10)
Clearances Total
3432
Interceptions
77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Sheckleford R. , Donacien J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 70', 0 - 1, Pepple A. ,
  • 71', Grant C. , Whitaker C. ,
  • 71', Tsaroulla N. , Jarvis W. ,
  • 72', Gordon L. , Duffy D. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Jarvis W. ,
  • 82', Banks O. , Fleck J. ,
  • 82', Mandeville L. , Hobson B. ,
  • 82', Dobra A. , Colclough R. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Naylor T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
48.1%
Draw
25.9%
Chesterfield
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 27.5% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 25.2% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notts County's performance.
  • Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notts County that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesterfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Notts County - Chesterfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.21)
    3.63
    (3.39)
    3.63
    (3.1)
    6.2%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Notts County - Chesterfield?
  • Users Predictions: Notts County will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Notts County will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Ness L. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Daley-Campbell V. (Hamstring Injury) Dunkley C. (Neck Injury) Jones M. (Injury) Williams T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Austin S. (Injury) Bass A. (Injury) Jones J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Araujo H. (Knee Injury) Grigg W. (Calf Injury) Hobson B. (Inactive) McFadzean K. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Notts County won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25:22 (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Chesterfield were as follows:
    12.10.2024 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:2
    13.05.2023 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:3
    11.02.2023 Chesterfield - Notts County 1:2
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Salford1161417:15219
    6MK Dons1153319:12718
    7Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    8Chesterfield1153320:19118
    9Notts Co1152420:13717
    10Barnet1152414:12217
    11Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    12Crewe1051414:11316
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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