Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

City Ground (Nottingham).

: Premier League - Round 6
Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.65	1.19
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
22	11
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
90% (510/567)	80% (246/306)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65	1.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.16	0.87
Total shots
22	11
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
10	5
Blocked Shots
6	3
Shots inside the Box
15	8
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
38	22
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
6	11
Passes
90% (510/567)	80% (246/306)
Long passes
63% (25/40)	52% (32/62)
Passes in final third
84% (168/199)	64% (46/72)
Crosses
21% (9/42)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.09	0.68
Throw-ins
24	13
Fouls
11	6
Tackles
56% (9/16)	70% (7/10)
Duels won
44	38
Clearances
20	41
Interceptions
1	6
Errors leading to shot
2	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
0.87	2.16
Goals prevented
-0.13	2.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Sadiki N. 🟨,
31', Masuaku A. 🟨,
36', Dominguez N. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Alderete O. ⚽, Xhaka G. (A),
38', Milenkovic N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dominguez N. ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
49', Williams N. 🟨,
59', Rigg C. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
59', Masuaku A. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
60', McAtee J. ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
60', Ndoye D. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
72', Bakwa D. ↓, Hutchinson O. ↑,
75', Le Fee E. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
82', Anderson E. 🟨,
85', Isidor W. ↓, Brobbey B. ↑,
85', Talbi C. ↓, Adingra S. ↑,
90', Wood Ch. ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Nottingham Forest
44.3%

Draw
29.5%

Sunderland
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.1%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

27.6%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nottingham Forest's form might have worsened.

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunderland's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nottingham Forest - Sunderland Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (1.78)	3.65 ↓ (3.67)	4.05 ↓ (4.72)	-9.7% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest - Sunderland?

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 37 - 66.1%). Sunderland will win (votes: 11 - 19.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 53.7% – 78.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nottingham Forest will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 7).
Recent form of Nottingham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sunderland has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sunderland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Nottingham has had a series of away games.
In this match, Nottingham is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Dominguez N. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury) Cirkin D. (Wrist Injury) Diarra H. (Groin Injury) Hjelde L. F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mandava R. (Red Card) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Nottingham: Douglas Luiz (Hamstring Injury) Murillo (Injury)
There are questionable in Sunderland: O'Nien L. (Shoulder Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Sunderland?

Nottingham Forest has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sunderland won against Nottingham Forest?

Sunderland has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nottingham Forest - Sunderland were as follows:

19.07.2024 Nottingham Forest - Sunderland 1:1

Latest results of Nottingham Forest

24.09.2025 Betis - Nottingham Forest 2:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Burnley - Nottingham Forest 1:1 ✺

17.09.2025 Swansea City - Nottingham Forest 3:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Arsenal - Nottingham Forest 3:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Nottingham Forest - West Ham United 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Sunderland

21.09.2025 Sunderland - Aston Villa 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Crystal Palace - Sunderland 0:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Sunderland - Brentford 2:1 ✺

26.08.2025 Sunderland - Huddersfield Town 1:2 ✺

23.08.2025 Burnley - Sunderland 2:0 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	7	5	1	1	14:3	11	16
2	Liverpool	7	5	0	2	13:9	4	15
3	Tottenham	7	4	2	1	13:5	8	14
4	Bournemouth	7	4	2	1	11:8	3	14
5	Manchester City	7	4	1	2	15:6	9	13
6	Crystal Palace	7	3	3	1	9:5	4	12
7	Chelsea	7	3	2	2	13:9	4	11
8	Everton	7	3	2	2	9:7	2	11
9	Sunderland	7	3	2	2	7:6	1	11
10	Manchester Utd	7	3	1	3	9:11	-2	10
11	Newcastle	7	2	3	2	6:5	1	9
12	Brighton	7	2	3	2	10:10	0	9
13	Aston Villa	7	2	3	2	6:7	-1	9
14	Fulham	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8
15	Leeds	7	2	2	3	7:11	-4	8
16	Brentford	7	2	1	4	9:12	-3	7
17	Nottingham	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5
18	Burnley	7	1	1	5	7:15	-8	4
19	West Ham	7	1	1	5	6:16	-10	4
20	Wolves	7	0	2	5	5:14	-9	2

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Nottingham Forest - Sunderland?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 6
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Max
Japan	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 24 Extra