Nottingham Forest vs Midtjylland: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa League Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland
Result
2:3
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Europa League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.922.10
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
108
Passes
87% (406/468)78% (226/288)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.922.10
xG on target (xGOT)
2.432.92
Total shots
228
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
108
Touches in opposition box
3513
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
87% (406/468)78% (226/288)
Long passes
59% (24/41)37% (20/54)
Passes in final third
79% (123/156)62% (43/69)
Crosses
25% (8/32)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.43
Throw-ins
188
Fouls
1415
Tackles
80% (16/20)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5447
Clearances
1835
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
2.922.43
Goals prevented
-0.080.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 1', Morato 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Diao O. , Bech Sorensen M. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Ndoye D. , Gibbs-White M. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 2, Bech Sorensen M. , Erlic M. (A),
  • 28', Murillo , Savona N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Mbabu K. 🟨,
  • 58', Simsir A. , Osorio D. ,
  • 66', Mbabu K. , Lee Han-Beom ,
  • 66', Castillo D. , Bravo P. ,
  • 66', Cho Gue-Sung , Byskov V. ,
  • 73', Igor Jesus 🟨,
  • 75', Igor Jesus , Wood Ch. ,
  • 76', Gibbs-White M. 🟨,
  • 88', Junior Brumado , Franculino ,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Byskov V. , Osorio D. (A),
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Gibbs-White M. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Diao O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nottingham Forest
70.9%
Draw
17.2%
Midtjylland
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.1% 19.5% 13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 19.1% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nottingham Forest that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.42)
    5.52
    (4.9)
    8.13
    (7.1)
    4%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 25 - 71.4%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 56.4%86.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Midtjylland (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Midtjylland (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nottingham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Midtjylland is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Nottingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Nottingham has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Nottingham is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Awoniyi T. (Inactive) Cunha (Inactive) Douglas Luiz (Hamstring Injury) Gunn A. (Inactive) Hutchinson O. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Midtjylland: Dani Silva (Injury) Ejeheri O. (Surgery) Gogorza M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    Latest results of Midtjylland
    29.09.2025 Midtjylland - Randers FC 2:1
    24.09.2025 Midtjylland - Sturm Graz 2:0
    20.09.2025 Midtjylland - Viborg 2:0
    17.09.2025 Aalborg BK - Midtjylland 0:3
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22006:246
    2Midtjylland22005:236
    3Aston Villa22003:036
    4Braga22003:036
    5Lyon22003:036
    6Lille22003:126
    7FC Porto22003:126
    8Plzen21104:134
    9Betis21104:224
    10Freiburg21103:214
    11Ferencvaros21102:114
    12Panathinaikos21015:323
    13Celta Vigo21014:313
    14Basel21013:213
    15AS Roma21012:203
    16G.A. Eagles21012:203
    17Brann21012:203
    18Genk21011:103
    19Young Boys21013:4-13
    20Fenerbahce21013:4-13
    21Ludogorets21012:3-13
    22Sturm Graz21012:3-13
    23Stuttgart21012:3-13
    24FCSB21011:2-13
    25Nottingham20114:5-11
    26Crvena zvezda20112:3-11
    27Bologna20111:2-11
    28PAOK20111:3-21
    29Celtic20111:3-21
    30Maccabi Tel Aviv20111:3-21
    31Nice20022:4-20
    32Rangers20021:3-20
    33Utrecht20020:2-20
    34Salzburg20020:3-30
    35Feyenoord20020:3-30
    36Malmo FF20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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