Nottingham Forest vs Luton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English FA Cup Nottingham Forest - Luton Town
Result
2:0
11/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/32-finals
Nottingham Forest - Luton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.85
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
118
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
52
Blocked Shots
30
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
75
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
61
Free Kicks
611
Offsides
20
Fouls
116
Throw-ins
1622
Touches in the Opposition Box
2520
Passes
79% (333/420)83% (427/512)
Passes in the final third
65% (71/110)69% (81/117)
Crosses
8% (1/13)25% (4/16)
Tackles
47% (8/17)69% (9/13)
Clearances Total
1927
Interceptions
87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Yates R. , Sosa R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Dabo L. , Clark J. ,
  • 57', Nelson Z. , Brown J. ,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Sosa R. , Jota Silva (A),
  • 69', Jones I. , Adebayo E. ,
  • 74', Sosa R. , Hudson-Odoi C. ,
  • 74', Awoniyi T. , Wood Ch. ,
  • 74', Yates R. , Dominguez N. ,
  • 74', Jota Silva , Elanga A. ,
  • 85', Ward-Prowse J. , Danilo ,

Chances of winning


Nottingham Forest
65.6%
Draw
20.8%
Luton Town
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.8% 18.7% 10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.8% 17.7% 9.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nottingham Forest's form might have worsened.
  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Nottingham Forest - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.34)
    4.59
    (5.06)
    7.14
    (9)
    4.7%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 0.
    • Nottingham in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Luton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Luton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Nottingham is absolute favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Nottingham to win the game is with odds 1.4.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nottingham Forest - Luton Town were as follows:
    16.03.2024 Luton Town - Nottingham Forest 1:1
    21.10.2023 Nottingham Forest - Luton Town 2:2
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1WorkingtonStalybridge2 : 3
    2ByeChester
    3Curzon AshtonBye
    4Hebburn TownLongridge Town1 : 0
    5AFC FyldeBye
    6WarringtonBamber Bridge0 : 3
    7SilsdenBootle2 : 4, 0 : 0
    8ByeDarlington
    9Pickering TownRedcar Athletic5 : 2
    10West D. & C.Runcorn Linnets0 : 2
    11HallamAshton Utd0 : 2, 2 : 2
    12ByeScarborough
    13West AucklandWythenshawe FC3 : 1
    14ByeSpennymoor
    15Rossington MainFC United0 : 4
    16Bishop AucklandChadderton1 : 3
    17MorpethPontefract2 : 1
    18WittonShildon3 : 0, 3 : 3
    19RadcliffeBye
    20ByeSouthport
    21MacclesfieldBye
    22Atherton R.Atherton5 : 2
    23AvroNantwich0 : 2, 1 : 1
    24TraffordStockton2 : 1
    25KendalDunston0 : 1
    26Wombwell TownStocksbridge1 : 3
    27CorbyGainsborough1 : 2
    28RushallAtherstone5 : 1
    29South ShieldsBye
    30Warrington RylandsGuiseley1 : 4
    31WidnesCongleton (WO.)
    32ByeChorley
    33Newcastle Blue StarHeaton Stannington1 : 0
    34ByeMarine
    35BuxtonBye
    36RedditchSkegness Town5 : 0
    37HydePrescot1 : 0, 2 : 2
    38LancasterWhitby1 : 2
    39MatlockBottesford4 : 1
    40Carlton TownCleethorpes3 : 0
    41CheshuntLeiston1 : 2
    42KnaphillHackney Wick1 : 2
    43WorcesterChasetown2 : 3, 1 : 1
    44MangotsfieldBanbury0 : 1
    45Enfield FCIlford3 : 1
    46ByeEnfield Town
    47QuornSherwood Colliery8 : 0
    48Long EatonKettering1 : 4
    49Needham MarketTilbury4 : 2
    50EynesburyArlesey3 : 1
    51HistonMulbarton Wanderers2 : 3
    52WithamLowestoft3 : 2
    53BrightlingseaBury Town2 : 3
    54NewmarketWoodford Town2 : 3
    55Potters BarHitchin0 : 2, 2 : 2
    56Aylesbury ValeSt. Albans1 : 3
    57HaverhillWaltham Abbey0 : 3
    58March TownGorleston1 : 3
    59Maldon & TiptreeCanvey2 : 0
    60StanwayCockfosters2 : 1
    61HarboroughLeek3 : 0, 0 : 0
    62ByeWorksop
    63Peterborough SportsBye
    64ByeHornchurch
    65AlvechurchBarwell4 : 2
    66ByeLeamington
    67ChelmsfordBye
    68Bowers & PitseaHertford1 : 2
    69IlkestonSpalding United1 : 2
    70ByeAlfreton
    71BedfordBye
    72ByeDag & Red
    73ColeshillWorcester Raiders2 : 1
    74HednesfordBasford3 : 1
    75BillericayBarton4 : 1
    76BerkhamstedSt. Ives2 : 0
    77RedbridgeRoyston1 : 2
    78BrentwoodLeighton Town2 : 1
    79CheshamBye
    80ByeKingu2019s Lynn
    81AFC TelfordBye
    82ByeKidderminster
    83KidsgroveRacing Club Warwick1 : 2
    84EveshamBromsgrove5 : 2
    85Eastwood CommunityGrimsby Borough1 : 2
    86HalesowenStratford3 : 0, 1 : 1
    87SudburyMildenhall4 : 0
    88AveleyHashtag3 : 0
    89Hemel HempsteadBye
    90Real BedfordBishop's Stortford0 : 1, 1 : 1
    91Boston TownSporting Khalsa0 : 2, 1 : 1
    92ByeHereford
    93Sutton ColdfieldAbbey Hulton3 : 2, 2 : 2
    94Hanley TownStourbridge0 : 2
    95BourneShepshed1 : 2, 0 : 0
    96StamfordCoventry Sphinx1 : 0
    97Bishops CleeveWimborne2 : 5
    98ByeBath
    99Burnham FCJersey Bulls0 : 3
    100ByeWorthing
    101WokinghamBurgess Hill1 : 5
    102Erith TownFarnham0 : 3
    103Falmouth TownBrixham0 : 5
    104SlimbridgeDorchester0 : 1
    105EbbsfleetBye
    106Ashford TownWhyteleafe3 : 2
    107MaidenheadBye
    108FavershamHastings3 : 0, 2 : 2
    109Dulwich HamletWhitstable Town2 : 3
    110Havant & WChichester0 : 1
    111HungerfordAFC Stoneham3 : 0
    112TavistockSwindon S1 : 4
    113ChertseyThame2 : 1
    114RamsgateCray Valley1 : 2
    115Steyning TownLancing5 : 0
    116ByeTonbridge
    117Cray WanderersHanwell Town0 : 1, 2 : 2
    118Bedfont SportsLittlehampton4 : 3
    119UxbridgeWelling1 : 2
    120ByeSlough
    121Merthyr TownBye
    122Royal WoottonTorpoint1 : 3
    123Hampton & RichmondBye
    124SittingbourneCroydon Ath.1 : 2
    125WinchesterFareham0 : 1, 0 : 0
    126FairfordSholing0 : 2
    127Eastbourne BoroBye
    128EpsomRisborough2 : 1
    129WestfieldSheppey United2 : 0
    130ByeHorsham FC
    131FolkestoneSevenoaks3 : 0
    132ByeMaidstone
    133SalisburyBye
    134Hythe & DibdenLaverstock & Ford1 : 2
    135DorkingBye
    136CarshaltonWingate & Finchley2 : 3, 0 : 0
    137Westbury UnitedYate Town3 : 2, 2 : 2
    138ByeOxford City
    139FarnboroughBye
    140ByeDover
    141GosportBasingstoke2 : 1
    142DidcotPoole1 : 2, 1 : 1
    143TivertonTaunton3 : 4
    144ByeWeston-super-Mare
    145AFC TottonBye
    146ByeTorquay
    147Shaftesbury TownExmouth Town2 : 0, 1 : 1
    148Plymouth ParkwayFrome0 : 4
    149Tower HamletsAscot4 : 1
    150FlackwellLewes2 : 1
    151BracknellDartford2 : 0, 2 : 2
    152TadleyWeymouth4 : 2
    153Hayes & YeadingWhitehawk2 : 3, 1 : 1
    154Three BridgesWalton & Hersham0 : 2
    155GloucesterPortchester2 : 0, 1 : 1
    156ByeChippenham
    157Raynes Park ValeAshford U.0 : 2
    158ChathamMarlow4 : 0
    159DealCobham2 : 0
    160BeckenhamEgham2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1StalybridgeChester1 : 2
    2Curzon AshtonHebburn Town4 : 1
    3AFC FyldeBamber Bridge4 : 1
    4BootleDarlington1 : 3
    5Pickering TownRuncorn Linnets0 : 2
    6Ashton UtdScarborough2 : 0
    7West AucklandSpennymoor0 : 1
    8FC UnitedChadderton0 : 1
    9MorpethWitton2 : 1
    10RadcliffeSouthport2 : 3, 1 : 1
    11MacclesfieldAtherton R.3 : 0
    12NantwichTrafford3 : 1
    13DunstonStocksbridge1 : 0
    14GainsboroughRushall2 : 1
    15South ShieldsGuiseley2 : 1
    16CongletonChorley0 : 1
    17Newcastle Blue StarMarine0 : 2
    18BuxtonRedditch3 : 0
    19HydeWhitby2 : 0
    20MatlockCarlton Town3 : 0
    21LeistonHackney Wick4 : 1
    22ChasetownBanbury1 : 2, 0 : 0
    23Enfield FCEnfield Town0 : 3
    24QuornKettering2 : 1
    25Needham MarketEynesbury4 : 2
    26Mulbarton WanderersWitham0 : 2, 0 : 0
    27Bury TownWoodford Town1 : 1
    28HitchinSt. Albans1 : 2
    29Waltham AbbeyGorleston2 : 0
    30Maldon & TiptreeStanway2 : 0
    31HarboroughWorksop3 : 2
    32Peterborough SportsHornchurch2 : 1
    33AlvechurchLeamington3 : 0
    34ChelmsfordHertford6 : 0
    35Spalding UnitedAlfreton3 : 0
    36BedfordDag & Red0 : 1, 1 : 1
    37ColeshillHednesford0 : 7
    38BillericayBerkhamsted3 : 0
    39RoystonBrentwood1 : 0
    40CheshamKingu2019s Lynn1 : 4
    41AFC TelfordKidderminster3 : 1
    42Racing Club WarwickEvesham0 : 1, 3 : 3
    43Grimsby BoroughHalesowen1 : 6, 1 : 1
    44SudburyAveley1 : 2
    45Hemel HempsteadBishop's Stortford4 : 1
    46Sporting KhalsaHereford
    47Sutton ColdfieldStourbridge3 : 1
    48ShepshedStamford0 : 2
    49WimborneBath2 : 1
    50Jersey BullsWorthing0 : 5, 2 : 2
    51Burgess HillFarnham1 : 3
    52BrixhamDorchester1 : 3
    53EbbsfleetAshford Town5 : 0
    54MaidenheadFaversham0 : 1
    55Whitstable TownChichester1 : 0, 1 : 1
    56HungerfordSwindon S3 : 0
    57ChertseyCray Valley2 : 3
    58Steyning TownTonbridge1 : 6, 2 : 2
    59Hanwell TownBedfont Sports0 : 1
    60WellingSlough0 : 1, 1 : 1
    61Merthyr TownTorpoint4 : 0
    62Hampton & RichmondCroydon Ath.4 : 2
    63FarehamSholing0 : 3
    64Eastbourne BoroEpsom4 : 0
    65WestfieldHorsham FC0 : 6, 2 : 2
    66FolkestoneMaidstone2 : 0
    67SalisburyLaverstock & Ford4 : 1
    68DorkingWingate & Finchley7 : 2
    69Westbury UnitedOxford City3 : 2
    70FarnboroughDover4 : 1
    71GosportPoole0 : 3
    72TauntonWeston-super-Mare0 : 3, 1 : 1
    73AFC TottonTorquay2 : 0
    74Shaftesbury TownFrome1 : 1
    75Tower HamletsFlackwell0 : 2
    76BracknellTadley2 : 0
    77WhitehawkWalton & Hersham0 : 2
    78GloucesterChippenham1 : 2
    79Ashford U.Chatham0 : 3
    80DealEgham2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ChesterCurzon Ashton
    2AFC FyldeDarlington
    3Runcorn LinnetsAshton Utd
    4SpennymoorChadderton
    5MorpethSouthport
    6MacclesfieldNantwich
    7DunstonGainsborough
    8South ShieldsChorley
    9MarineBuxton
    10HydeMatlock
    11LeistonBanbury
    12Enfield TownQuorn
    13Needham MarketWitham
    14TBD #27St. Albans
    15Waltham AbbeyMaldon & Tiptree
    16HarboroughPeterborough Sports
    17AlvechurchChelmsford
    18Spalding UnitedDag & Red
    19HednesfordBillericay
    20RoystonKingu2019s Lynn
    21AFC TelfordEvesham
    22HalesowenAveley
    23Hemel HempsteadTBD #46
    24Sutton ColdfieldStamford
    25WimborneWorthing
    26FarnhamDorchester
    27EbbsfleetFaversham
    28Whitstable TownHungerford
    29Cray ValleyTonbridge
    30Bedfont SportsSlough
    31Merthyr TownHampton & Richmond
    32SholingEastbourne Boro
    33Horsham FCFolkestone
    34SalisburyDorking
    35Westbury UnitedFarnborough
    36PooleWeston-super-Mare
    37AFC TottonTBD #74
    38FlackwellBracknell
    39Walton & HershamChippenham
    40ChathamDeal
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