Stoke City vs Norwich City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Stoke City - Norwich City
Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 7
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Stoke City - Norwich City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.32
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
236
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
84% (381/454)73% (252/344)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.301.75
Total shots
236
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
92
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
90
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
3213
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
911
Passes
84% (381/454)73% (252/344)
Long passes
53% (28/53)42% (33/79)
Passes in final third
70% (78/111)46% (32/69)
Crosses
26% (9/34)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.561.04
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
119
Tackles
41% (7/17)70% (21/30)
Duels won
5565
Clearances
945
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.751.30
Goals prevented
0.750.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Makama J. , Stacey J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Thomas S. ,
  • 54', Makama J. , Crnac A. ,
  • 68', Schwartau O. , Schlupp J. ,
  • 74', Darling H. 🟨,
  • 76', McLean K. 🟨,
  • 82', Manhoef M. , Cisse L. ,
  • 89', Gibbs L. , Topic M. ,
  • 89', Rigo T. , N'Zonzi S. ,
  • 90+2', Fisher K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stoke City
49.4%
Draw
25.9%
Norwich City
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 25.9% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 25.6% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Stoke City - Norwich City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2)
    3.65
    (3.65)
    3.84
    (3.5)
    5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Stoke City - Norwich City?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Norwich will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.8%64.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 0.
    • Stoke has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Norwich has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Stoke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Stoke: Gallagher S. (Muscle Injury) N'Zonzi S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B. (Hamstring Injury) Forson A. (Hamstring Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Kvistgaarden M. (Injury) Mahovo L. (Knee Injury) Myles E. (Injury) Schlupp J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Norwich: Diallo P. A. (Injury) Duffy S. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Norwich City were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Norwich City - Stoke City 4:2
    19.10.2024 Stoke City - Norwich City 1:1
    16.03.2024 Stoke City - Norwich City 0:3
    16.09.2023 Norwich City - Stoke City 1:0
    18.03.2023 Stoke City - Norwich City 0:0
    Latest results of Stoke City
    Latest results of Norwich City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough752012:5717
    2Coventry734018:71113
    3Stoke741210:5513
    4Bristol City733113:7612
    5Leicester73319:6312
    6Preston73317:5212
    7Charlton73227:5211
    8West Brom73228:7111
    9QPR732211:13-211
    10Millwall73226:8-211
    11Birmingham73135:8-310
    12Ipswich623111:659
    13Swansea72327:619
    14Norwich722310:1008
    15Wrexham722312:13-18
    16Watford72237:8-18
    17Portsmouth72235:7-28
    18Hull722311:14-38
    19Southampton71428:10-27
    20Blackburn62045:8-36
    21Derby71339:13-46
    22Oxford Utd71249:11-25
    23Sheffield Wed71246:13-75
    24Sheffield Utd71062:13-113

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Which TV channels are streaming of Stoke City - Norwich City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
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