Millwall vs Norwich City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Millwall - Norwich City
Result
3:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 44
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Millwall - Norwich City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.12
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
164
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
72% (242/336)79% (382/482)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.12
xG on target (xGOT)
2.600.54
Total shots
164
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
3110
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
910
Passes
72% (242/336)79% (382/482)
Long passes
39% (26/66)30% (18/61)
Passes in final third
59% (66/111)60% (69/115)
Crosses
35% (8/23)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.24
Fouls
109
Tackles
76% (13/17)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4449
Clearances Total
2035
Interceptions
178
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.542.60
Goals prevented
-0.50-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Ivanovic M. ,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Azeez F. , Saville G. (A),
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Duffy S. , Wright J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Nunez M. 🟨,
  • 61', Sainz B. , Gibbs L. ,
  • 62', Schwartau O. , Hernandez O. ,
  • 62', Marcondes E. , Slimane A. ,
  • 69', 3 - 1, Ivanovic M. , Saville G. (A),
  • 71', Cundle L. 🟨,
  • 76', Nunez M. , Doyle C. ,
  • 79', McLean K. 🟨,
  • 81', Wright J. , Sorensen J. ,
  • 81', De Norre C. , Wintle R. ,
  • 87', Cundle L. , Connolly A. ,
  • 88', Ivanovic M. , Langstaff M. ,
  • 89', Hernandez O. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Azeez F. , Emakhu A. ,
  • 90+2', Sturge Z. , Leonard R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Millwall
38.6%
Draw
29.1%
Norwich City
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 28.7% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 29.5% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Millwall - Norwich City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.44)
    3.24
    (3.29)
    2.94
    (2.9)
    5.4%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Millwall - Norwich City?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 12 - 48%). Norwich will win (votes: 9 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 28.4%67.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 6 - 50%). Norwich (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Norwich (votes: 4 - 80%).
    • DC - Millwall (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 9 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 1.
    • Recent matches Millwall is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Norwich is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Millwall will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury) Neghli C. (Injury) Watmore D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B. (Ankle Injury) Crnac A. (Inactive) Dobbin L. (Calf Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Mahovo L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: Bangura-Williams R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Sturge Z. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Norwich: Jurasek M. (Thigh Injury) Sargent J. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Millwall won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16:29 (average 1.2:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.5:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Norwich City were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Norwich City - Millwall 2:1
    29.12.2023 Millwall - Norwich City 1:0
    20.08.2023 Norwich City - Millwall 3:1
    04.03.2023 Millwall - Norwich City 2:3
    Latest results of Millwall
    12.04.2025 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:0
    05.04.2025 Millwall - Portsmouth 2:1
    29.03.2025 Sunderland - Millwall 1:0
    Latest results of Norwich City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Birmingham00000:000
    2Blackburn00000:000
    3Derby00000:000
    4Middlesbrough00000:000
    5Portsmouth00000:000
    6Bristol City00000:000
    7Charlton00000:000
    8Coventry00000:000
    9Hull00000:000
    10Ipswich00000:000
    11Leicester00000:000
    12Norwich00000:000
    13Preston00000:000
    14QPR00000:000
    15Sheffield Utd00000:000
    16Sheffield Wed00000:000
    17Southampton00000:000
    18Stoke00000:000
    19Watford00000:000
    20West Brom00000:000
    21Millwall00000:000
    22Swansea00000:000
    23Wrexham00000:000
    24Oxford Utd00000:000

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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