Norwich City vs Middlesbrough: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Norwich City - Middlesbrough
Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 3
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Norwich City - Middlesbrough - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.26
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
85% (483/565)81% (319/393)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.381.53
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1825
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
63
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
85% (483/565)81% (319/393)
Long passes
40% (19/48)33% (14/42)
Passes in final third
64% (76/118)73% (94/129)
Crosses
20% (3/15)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.581.37
Throw-ins
1318
Fouls
1114
Tackles
77% (17/22)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5447
Clearances
1624
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.530.38
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Azaz F. , Hackney H. (A),
  • 45', 0 - 2, Conway T. , Morris A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Hackney H. 🟨,
  • 52', Stacey J. , Fisher K. ,
  • 58', Wright J. 🟥,
  • 61', Brittain C. 🟨,
  • 67', Whittaker M. , Hansen S. ,
  • 67', Conway T. , Burgzorg D. ,
  • 67', Crnac A. , Schwartau O. ,
  • 67', Marcondes E. , McLean K. ,
  • 72', Azaz F. , Nypan S. ,
  • 80', Cordoba J. , Schlupp J. ,
  • 80', Diallo P. A. , Kvistgaarden M. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Sargent J. , McLean K. (A),
  • 90', Silvera S. , Neto Borges ,
  • 90+7', Nypan S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Norwich City
40.5%
Draw
27.7%
Middlesbrough
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 27.4% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 27.7% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Norwich City - Middlesbrough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.17)
    3.43
    (3.47)
    2.98
    (3.31)
    5.5%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Norwich City - Middlesbrough?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 25.5%74.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Norwich (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 0.
    • Norwich is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Middlesbrough's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Norwich might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Norwich: Forson A. (Hamstring Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Mahovo L. (Knee Injury) McLean K. (Ankle Injury) Myles E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Norwich: Nunez M. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norwich City - Middlesbrough were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Middlesbrough - Norwich City 0:0
    27.10.2024 Norwich City - Middlesbrough 3:3
    06.03.2024 Middlesbrough - Norwich City 3:1
    24.10.2023 Norwich City - Middlesbrough 1:2
    14.04.2023 Middlesbrough - Norwich City 5:1
    Latest results of Norwich City
    16.08.2025 Portsmouth - Norwich City 1:2
    12.08.2025 Watford - Norwich City 1:2
    09.08.2025 Norwich City - Millwall 1:2
    02.08.2025 Norwich City - NAC Breda 2:0
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough44007:1612
    2West Brom43106:3310
    3Stoke43018:359
    4Leicester43016:339
    5Coventry422014:688
    6Bristol City42209:458
    7Swansea42114:227
    8Portsmouth42114:317
    9Preston42114:317
    10Birmingham42114:407
    11Norwich42026:516
    12Millwall42023:6-36
    13Southampton41216:605
    14Watford41215:505
    15Wrexham41127:704
    16Charlton41122:4-24
    17Hull41125:9-44
    18QPR41126:11-54
    19Blackburn41034:5-13
    20Ipswich40314:5-13
    21Derby40227:11-42
    22Oxford Utd40134:7-31
    23Sheffield Wed40133:9-61
    24Sheffield Utd40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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