Norway W vs Italy W, UEFA Euro Women: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Euro Women
Soccer UEFA Euro Women Norway W - Italy W
Result
1:2
16/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Euro Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
Norway W - Italy W - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.282.03
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
77% (287/373)78% (297/380)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.282.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.302.06
Total shots
913
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
2224
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
210
Passes
77% (287/373)78% (297/380)
Long passes
38% (20/52)56% (27/48)
Passes in final third
63% (60/95)64% (54/84)
Crosses
22% (4/18)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.13
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
102
Tackles
75% (12/16)43% (6/14)
Duels won
3546
Clearances
2129
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
2.060.30
Goals prevented
0.06-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Naalsund L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Girelli C. ⚽, Cantore S. (A),
  • 58', Linari E. 🟨,
  • 59', Soncin A. 🟨,
  • 60', Hegerberg A. (Pen),
  • 64', Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ↓, Terland E. ↑,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Hegerberg A. ⚽, Mjelde M. (A),
  • 77', Severini E. ↓, Greggi G. ↑,
  • 77', Bonansea B. ↓, Cambiaghi M. ↑,
  • 87', Bjelde T. ↓, Woldvik E. ↑,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Girelli C. ⚽, Cantore S. (A),
  • 90+2', Cantore S. ↓, Lenzini M. ↑,
  • 90+2', Girelli C. ↓, Piemonte M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Norway W
34%		Draw
29.6%		Italy W
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 28.6% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 29.5% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Norway W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norway W than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy W than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
    •

    Norway W - Italy W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.79 ↑
    (2.5)    		 3.2 ↓
    (3.39)    		 2.61 ↓
    (2.97)    		 5.4%
    (3.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Norway W - Italy W?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Norway will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). Italy will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 55.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 72.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Norway (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Italy (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Norway is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Italy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Norway won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norway W - Italy W were as follows:
    04.06.2024 Italy W - Norway W 1:1
    31.05.2024 Norway W - Italy W 0:0
    Latest results of Norway W
    10.07.2025 Norway W - Iceland W 4:3 ✺
    06.07.2025 Norway W - Finland W 2:1 ✺
    02.07.2025 Switzerland W - Norway W 1:2 ✺
    26.06.2025 Norway W - Sweden W 0:2 ✺
    03.06.2025 Switzerland W - Norway W 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Italy W
    11.07.2025 Italy W - Spain W 1:3 ✺
    07.07.2025 Portugal W - Italy W 1:1 ✺
    03.07.2025 Belgium W - Italy W 0:1 ✺
    03.06.2025 Wales W - Italy W 1:4 ✺
    30.05.2025 Italy W - Sweden W 0:0
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Sweden W (C1)England W (D2)2 : 3
    2Norway W (A1)Italy W (B2)1 : 2
    3France W (D1)Germany W (C2)1 : 2
    4Spain W (B1)Switzerland W (A2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1England W (D2)Italy W (B2)2 : 1
    2Germany W (C2)Spain W (B1)0 : 1

    Final
    1England W (D2)Spain W (B1)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Norway W - Italy W?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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