Result
2:3 penalties
26/09/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY
- Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
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Chances of winning
Northampton Town 43.6% | Draw 24.3% | Chelsea U21 32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northampton Town's form might have worsened.Chelsea U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northampton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea U21 than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Northampton Town - Chelsea U21 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↑ (1.85) |
3.82 ↓ (3.9) |
2.89 ↓ (3.35) |
7.7% (9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Chelsea U21?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Chelsea U21 will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea U21: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Northampton is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Chelsea U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Chelsea U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Northampton is a favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Chelsea U21?
Northampton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea U21 won against Northampton Town?
Chelsea U21 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Chelsea U21 were as follows:
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Chelsea U21
English EFL Trophy Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Stockport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
2 | Salford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
3 | Wolves U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
4 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Nottingham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
2 | Bradford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
3 | Grimsby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
4 | Everton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Lincoln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
2 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Manchester Utd U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Notts Co | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Manchester City U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
2 | Bolton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
3 | Rotherham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
4 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Huddersfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 3 |
2 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Harrogate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | 0 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Port Vale | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
2 | Fleetwood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
3 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
4 | Leeds U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
2 | Burton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
3 | Liverpool U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
4 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:7 | 0 |
Group 9 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Newport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Arsenal U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Group 10 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Plymouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
2 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
3 | Tottenham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 1 |
4 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Group 11 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
2 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
3 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Chelsea U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Group 12 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Swindon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
2 | MK Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | West Ham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Reading | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
Group 13 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Stevenage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
2 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
3 | Crystal Palace U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 14 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
2 | Crawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Aston Villa U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Peterborough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Group 15 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Gillingham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
2 | Colchester | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
3 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
4 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 16 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
2 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Brighton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Barnet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
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