Northampton Town vs Carlisle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Northampton Town - Carlisle United
Result
2:0
06/04/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 43
  • Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
Northampton Town - Carlisle United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.26
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
98
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
24
Corner Kicks
57
Offsides
03
Throw-ins
3042
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
910
Attacks
114107
Dangerous Attacks
4327

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Bowie K. , Sherring S. (A),
  • 34', Butterworth D. , Maguire S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Odimayo A. , Koiki A. ,
  • 57', Kelly G. , Diamond J. ,
  • 72', Fox B. , McWilliams S. ,
  • 73', Hoskins S. , Sowerby J. ,
  • 79', Appere L. , Springett T. ,
  • 79', McGowan A. , Willis J. ,
  • 83', Robinson J. , Harris J. J. ,
  • 83', Ellis J. , Emmanuel J. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 0, Koiki A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Northampton Town
48.8%
Draw
26.8%
Carlisle United
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 27.3% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 26.2% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Northampton Town - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.99)
    3.51
    (3.45)
    3.85
    (3.7)
    6.2%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 2.
    • Recent matches Northampton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Carlisle is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Northampton will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Northampton won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Carlisle United were as follows:
    16.12.2023 Carlisle United - Northampton Town 2:2
    15.04.2023 Carlisle United - Northampton Town 0:0
    20.12.2022 Northampton Town - Carlisle United 2:1
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff752012:21017
    2Bradford City852114:10417
    3Barnsley751114:9516
    4Stevenage751110:5516
    5Doncaster85129:8116
    6Huddersfield850315:11415
    7Lincoln843111:8315
    8Wigan833213:9412
    9Luton740310:6412
    10Stockport County833213:12112
    11AFC Wimbledon840410:10012
    12Bolton825110:7311
    13Mansfield832312:10211
    14Leyton Orient832310:13-311
    15Northampton73135:6-110
    16Exeter83059:909
    17Plymouth830511:17-69
    18Rotherham72146:10-47
    19Wycombe81258:11-35
    20Port Vale81256:9-35
    21Reading71247:12-55
    22Burton61145:10-54
    23Blackpool71157:14-74
    24Peterborough81166:15-94

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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