Northampton Saints vs Saracens: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union English Premiership Rugby Northampton Saints - Saracens
17/05/2025 at 10:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Northampton Saints - Saracens - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Northampton Saints
36.3%
Draw
4.3%
Saracens
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 4.5% 60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 4.7% 64%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northampton Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Saracens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saracens than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Northampton Saints - Saracens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.67)
    21.4
    (20.75)
    1.55
    (1.53)
    8.2%
    (7.7%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton Saints won 3.
    • Northampton Saints is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Saracens's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Saracens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Saracens could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Northampton Saints won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 528:725. (average 26.4:36.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Northampton Saints won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 290:391. (average 26.4:35.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Saints - Saracens were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Saracens - Northampton Saints 39:24
    31.05.2024 Northampton Saints - Saracens 22:20
    29.03.2024 Northampton Saints - Saracens 41:30
    02.12.2023 Saracens - Northampton Saints 12:18
    13.05.2023 Saracens - Northampton Saints 38:15
    Latest results of Northampton Saints
    Latest results of Saracens
    10.05.2025 Saracens - Newcastle Falcons 75:28
    25.04.2025 Sale Sharks - Saracens 25:7
    19.04.2025 Saracens - Gloucester 36:14
    05.04.2025 Toulon - Saracens 72:42
    30.03.2025 Leicester Tigers - Saracens 22:29
    English Premiership Rugby Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLPts
    1Bath161303582:36666
    2Leicester Tigers161015476:37656
    3Bristol16907556:51352
    4Sale Sharks161006458:40249
    5Saracens16907462:42849
    6Gloucester16808509:44946
    7Harlequins16718388:40443
    8Northampton Saints16709434:45038
    9Exeter Chiefs164012355:47426
    10Newcastle Falcons162014260:61813

          Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup

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