Exeter Chiefs vs Northampton Saints: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union English Premiership Rugby Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints
11/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Exeter Chiefs
72%
Draw
3.8%
Northampton Saints
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 4.3% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 5.5% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Exeter Chiefs's performance.
  • Northampton Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northampton Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter Chiefs than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Saints could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.73)
    24.45
    (21.75)
    3.87
    (2.22)
    7.3%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 64.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
  • What is the prediction for Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints?
    The most likely score is 37:27. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
    • Exeter is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Northampton Saints is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Exeter is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 623:449. (average 31.2:22.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 394:218. (average 35.8:19.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Northampton Saints - Exeter Chiefs 30:24
    06.01.2024 Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints 36:42
    12.11.2023 Northampton Saints - Exeter Chiefs 34:19
    07.01.2023 Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints 35:12
    04.11.2022 Northampton Saints - Exeter Chiefs 26:19
    Latest results of Exeter Chiefs
    27.04.2025 Gloucester - Exeter Chiefs 79:17
    19.04.2025 Exeter Chiefs - Bath 24:26
    22.03.2025 Bristol Rugby - Exeter Chiefs 52:38
    16.03.2025 Exeter Chiefs - Bath 14:48
    Latest results of Northampton Saints
    English Premiership Rugby Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLPts
    1Bath151302568:33066
    2Leicester Tigers161015476:37656
    3Sale Sharks161006458:40249
    4Bristol15807520:49947
    5Gloucester15807490:41146
    6Saracens15807387:40044
    7Northampton Saints15708420:40838
    8Harlequins15618350:38538
    9Exeter Chiefs153012313:46021
    10Newcastle Falcons152013232:54312

          Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup

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