North Texas vs Sporting Kansas City II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro
Soccer MLS Next Pro North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II
Result
1:2 penalties
14/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.250.88
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
83% (317/380)83% (324/389)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.250.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.461.41
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
2824
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
83% (317/380)83% (324/389)
Long passes
43% (23/53)41% (18/44)
Passes in final third
71% (79/112)77% (105/137)
Crosses
9% (2/23)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.06
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1115
Tackles
80% (12/15)67% (14/21)
Duels won
4845
Clearances
1722
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.411.46
Goals prevented
0.410.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Torquato J. 🟨,
  • 31', Alvaro Augusto 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Uderitz H. ↓, Clarke N. ↑,
  • 57', Arellano B. ↓, Alexandre M. ↑,
  • 57', Tschantret M. ↓, Donovan S. ↑,
  • 59', Swann C. 🟨,
  • 65', Uderitz B. 🟨,
  • 72', Derksen C. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
  • 72', Molina M. ↓, DuBois J. ↑,
  • 73', Garcia D. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
  • 76', Uderitz B. ↓, Wantland Z. ↑,
  • 81', Sangare F. ↓, Salazar C. ↑,
  • 82', 1 - 0, Contreras J. ⚽, Sarver S. (A),
  • 89', 1 - 1, Lurot P. ⚽, Ortiz J. (A),
  • 90+2', Kortkamp J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Sarver S. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, Sarver S. (Pen),
  • 1, Mabie B. (Pen),
  • 2, Urzua A. (Pen),
  • 2, Ortiz J. (Pen),
  • 3, Salazar C. (Pen),
  • 3, Donovan S. (Pen),
  • 4, Swann C. (Pen),
  • 4, Samways A. (Pen),
  • 5, Contreras J. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


North Texas
65.4%		Draw
18.2%		Sporting Kansas City II
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 18% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4% 17% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Sporting Kansas City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Texas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
    •

    North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.41 ↑
    (1.31)    		 5.08 ↑
    (5.05)    		 5.61 ↓
    (7.25)    		 8.5%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4.
    • North Texas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sporting KC II has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, North Texas is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas 1:4
    28.03.2025 North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II 3:4
    29.09.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas 1:2
    10.08.2024 North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II 2:0
    05.05.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas 0:2
    Latest results of North Texas
    06.09.2025 North Texas - Ventura County 2:1
    31.08.2025 Ventura County - North Texas 0:1
    24.08.2025 North Texas - Los Angeles II 0:4
    16.08.2025 North Texas - St. Louis City 2 1:3
    08.08.2025 Austin II - North Texas 1:2
    Latest results of Sporting Kansas City II
    06.09.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Real Monarchs 2:1
    31.08.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Colorado Rapids 2 2:3
    24.08.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:0
    17.08.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Houston Dynamo 2 1:3
    08.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    Main

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II281723668:5658
    2Philadelphia Union II281553564:3458
    3New England Revolution II281452754:3754
    4Chicago Fire II281252969:5848
    5Cincinnati 2289701240:4141
    6Toronto FC II2810241234:4238
    7New York City II289241353:6135
    8Columbus Crew 2285151740:6422


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga281354642:3653
    2Huntsville281442856:3252
    3Carolina Core288551042:4439
    4Atlanta United 2289271044:4338
    5Orlando City B289421338:5537
    6Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    7Inter Miami II286151640:7225


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC281442859:3652
    2Real Monarchs281344755:4251
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 22811411261:5442
    4Ventura County2811241148:5141
    5Portland Timbers 22810241247:5438
    6Tacoma Defiance2810221462:6736
    7Los Angeles FC 2289221547:6133


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2281751560:3762
    2Colorado Rapids 2281514855:4051
    3Minnesota 22812241045:4244
    4North Texas2811421146:5643
    5Austin FC II2810351035:3641
    6Houston Dynamo 2289421340:4737
    7Sporting Kansas City II283241930:6717


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II281723668:5658
    2Philadelphia Union II281553564:3458
    3New England Revolution II281452754:3754
    4Chattanooga281354642:3653
    5Huntsville281442856:3252
    6Chicago Fire II281252969:5848
    7Cincinnati 2289701240:4141
    8Carolina Core288551042:4439
    9Toronto FC II2810241234:4238
    10Atlanta United 2289271044:4338
    11Orlando City B289421338:5537
    12New York City II289241353:6135
    13Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    14Inter Miami II286151640:7225
    15Columbus Crew 2285151740:6422


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2281751560:3762
    2Town FC281442859:3652
    3Colorado Rapids 2281514855:4051
    4Real Monarchs281344755:4251
    5Minnesota 22812241045:4244
    6North Texas2811421146:5643
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 22811411261:5442
    8Ventura County2811241148:5141
    9Austin FC II2810351035:3641
    10Portland Timbers 22810241247:5438
    11Houston Dynamo 2289421340:4737
    12Tacoma Defiance2810221462:6736
    13Los Angeles FC 2289221547:6133
    14Sporting Kansas City II283241930:6717

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