Sporting Kansas City II vs North Texas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas
Result
1:4
18/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.591.84
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
105
Passes
86% (306/354)87% (369/425)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.591.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.012.73
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
2924
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
86% (306/354)87% (369/425)
Long passes
50% (12/24)54% (28/52)
Passes in final third
72% (70/97)73% (64/88)
Crosses
37% (7/19)0% (0/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.99
Throw-ins
169
Fouls
1315
Tackles
40% (2/5)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3944
Clearances
822
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
2.731.01
Goals prevented
-1.270.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Sarver S. , Ramirez A. (A), Scott T. (A2)
  • 23', 0 - 2, Sarver S. ,
  • 28', Donovan S. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 3, Sarver S. , Essel A. (A),
  • 42', Clarke N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 4, Sarver S. , Ramirez A. (A), Molina M. (A2)
  • 55', Ortiz J. , Arellano B. ,
  • 63', Scott T. , Contreras J. ,
  • 63', Sarver S. , Baran D. ,
  • 63', Aroyameh F. , DuBois J. ,
  • 64', 1 - 4, Arellano B. ,
  • 79', Uderitz B. , Cruz-Ayala L. ,
  • 84', Bulkeley J. , Kaakoush I. ,
  • 84', Molina M. , Salazar C. ,
  • 90', Barren B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sporting Kansas City II
31.4%
Draw
22%
North Texas
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.6% 21% 59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1% 19.5% 55.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Kansas City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Kansas City II's performance.
  • North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Texas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Kansas City II that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Texas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (4.65)
    4.19
    (4.34)
    1.98
    (1.54)
    8.4%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. North Texas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 2.
    • Sporting KC II has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • North Texas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • North Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • North Texas might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting KC II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas were as follows:
    28.03.2025 North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II 3:4
    29.09.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas 1:2
    10.08.2024 North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II 2:0
    05.05.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas 0:2
    22.07.2023 North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II 1:2
    Latest results of North Texas
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Philadelphia Union II211052445:2142
    3Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    4New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    5Toronto FC II22904926:3431
    6New York City II21724840:4329
    7Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    8Columbus Crew 2203131322:4314


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville201042444:2340
    2Chattanooga22943634:3338
    3Orlando City B217221029:4327
    4Carolina Core22544928:3127
    5Crown Legacy21535833:4326
    6Inter Miami II216041134:4722
    7Atlanta United 219426727:3222


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC191122448:2639
    2Ventura County211023643:3837
    3Real Monarchs19743535:3232
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    5Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    6Portland Timbers 220623932:3825
    7Los Angeles FC II206211133:4523


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Colorado Rapids 2221114644:3439
    3Austin FC II21735627:2732
    4Minnesota 221823834:3431
    5North Texas21831935:4331
    6Houston Dynamo 2227321032:3629
    7Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Philadelphia Union II211052445:2142
    3Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    4Huntsville201042444:2340
    5New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    6Chattanooga22943634:3338
    7Toronto FC II22904926:3431
    8New York City II21724840:4329
    9Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    10Orlando City B217221029:4327
    11Carolina Core22544928:3127
    12Crown Legacy21535833:4326
    13Inter Miami II216041134:4722
    14Atlanta United 219426727:3222
    15Columbus Crew 2203131322:4314


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Town FC191122448:2639
    3Colorado Rapids 2221114644:3439
    4Ventura County211023643:3837
    5Real Monarchs19743535:3232
    6Austin FC II21735627:2732
    7Minnesota 221823834:3431
    8North Texas21831935:4331
    9Houston Dynamo 2227321032:3629
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    11Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    12Portland Timbers 220623932:3825
    13Los Angeles FC II206211133:4523
    14Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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