North Sydney Bears vs Newcastle Knights II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian NSW Cup North Sydney Bears - Newcastle Knights II
Result
30:24
31/08/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: NSW Cup - Round 26
North Sydney Bears - Newcastle Knights II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
55
Conversion Goals
42
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
10
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (8 - 10)
  • 9', Hayman K. (Try),
  • 10', Hayman K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 15', Hayman K. (Penalty Goal),
  • 31', Aoake L. (Try),
  • 34', Alchin R. (Try),
  • 36', Hartwig B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (22 - 14)
  • 43', Armstrong D. (Try),
  • 51', Katoa T. (Try),
  • 61', Hayman K. (Try),
  • 63', Hayman K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 65', Talty B. (Try),
  • 66', Hayman K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 69', Moceidreke L. (Try),
  • 74', Peni T. (Try),
  • 76', Hayman K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80+1', Jenkins T. (Try),
  • 80+2', Stig R. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


North Sydney Bears
58%
Draw
3.9%
Newcastle Knights II
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 4% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 3.3% 49.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Sydney Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Newcastle Knights II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Sydney Bears than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Sydney Bears that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights II than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Knights II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • North Sydney Bears - Newcastle Knights II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.69)
    23.8
    (23)
    2.44
    (2.25)
    7.5%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches North Sydney won 4.
    • North Sydney has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Newcastle Knights II is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches North Sydney won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 526-308.
    • Including matches at home between the teams North Sydney won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 256-116.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Sydney Bears - Newcastle Knights II were as follows:
    24.03.2024 Newcastle Knights II - North Sydney Bears 50:24
    04.08.2023 Newcastle Knights II - North Sydney Bears 14:54
    23.04.2023 North Sydney Bears - Newcastle Knights II 32:6
    Australian NSW Cup Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1New Zealand Warriors II161501535:26832
    2St. George Illawarra Dragons II161213522:34029
    3Parramatta Eels II171115475:41925
    4Newtown171106451:34024
    5Penrith Panthers II171007450:35022
    6Sydney Roosters II16808342:43920
    7Canterbury II16619450:44717
    8Western Suburbs17719386:47217
    9North Sydney166010340:44616
    10Canberra Raiders II176011458:45414
    11Manly Sea Eagles II175012360:51312
    12South Sydney Rabbitohs II175012314:48812
    13Newcastle Knights II174013374:48110

          Promotion ~ NSW Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
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