New Zealand Warriors vs North Queensland Cowboys, Australian NRL: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian NRL New Zealand Warriors - North Queensland Cowboys
Result
30:26
03/05/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 9
New Zealand Warriors - North Queensland Cowboys - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
55
Conversion Goals
43
Conversion Goal Attempts
55
Penalty Goals
10
Penalty Goal Attempts
20
Goals %
7160
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
158179
Metres Run With Ball
15251742

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (28 - 12)
  • 7', Metcalf L. (Try),
  • 9', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 12', Kosi E. (Try),
  • 12', Metcalf L. (Missed Conversion),
  • 15', Purdue J. (Try),
  • 16', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 21', McLean J. , McIntyre S. ,
  • 22', Niukore M. , Ford J. ,
  • 22', Harris-Tavita C. (Try),
  • 23', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 24', Taumalolo J. , Neame G. ,
  • 27', Barnett M. , Vaimagua D. ,
  • 28', Metcalf L. (Try),
  • 29', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Cotter R. , Hess C. ,
  • 32', Dearden T. (Try),
  • 34', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 39', Pompey A. (Try),
  • 40', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 14)
  • 45', Metcalf L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 51', Hess C. , Edwards H. ,
  • 51', Clark E. , Afoa B. ,
  • 51', Vaimagua D. , Barnett M. ,
  • 53', Berry R. , Niukore M. ,
  • 55', Neame G. , Taumalolo J. ,
  • 56', Derby R. (Try),
  • 56', Drinkwater S. (Missed Conversion),
  • 59', Taulagi M. (Try),
  • 61', Drinkwater S. (Missed Conversion),
  • 62', Afoa B. , Clark E. ,
  • 63', Nanai J. (Try),
  • 64', Bateman J. , Cotter R. ,
  • 65', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 66', Ford J. , Healey S. ,
  • 72', Egan W. , Vaimagua D. ,
  • 73', McIntyre S. , McLean J. ,
  • 76', Taumalolo J. , Hess C. ,

Chances of winning


New Zealand Warriors
39.5%
Draw
4.5%
North Queensland Cowboys
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 4.3% 48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 4.4% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Zealand Warriors's form might have worsened.
  • North Queensland Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Queensland Cowboys's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Zealand Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Queensland Cowboys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New Zealand Warriors - North Queensland Cowboys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (1.99)
    20.43
    (21.75)
    1.65
    (1.9)
    7.4%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 47.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 4.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • North Queensland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 405:470. (average 21.3:24.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 208:199. (average 23.1:22.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Warriors - North Queensland Cowboys were as follows:
    08.06.2024 North Queensland Cowboys - New Zealand Warriors 12:42
    15.04.2023 New Zealand Warriors - North Queensland Cowboys 22:14
    18.03.2023 North Queensland Cowboys - New Zealand Warriors 12:26
    Latest results of New Zealand Warriors
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders23194630:44444
    2Melbourne Storm23176657:42940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs23167528:39038
    4Brisbane Broncos23149650:49434
    5New Zealand Warriors23149491:46934
    6Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    7Penrith Panthers231210536:44931
    8Sydney Roosters231211617:51530
    9Manly Sea Eagles231112528:50828
    10Dolphins221012623:54226
    11Wests Tigers23914449:57624
    12Parramatta Eels23914436:56824
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57224
    14NQ Cowboys24914538:68423
    15St. George Illawarra Dragons23815478:58822
    16Newcastle Knights22616312:53218
    17Gold Coast Titans22517454:65516

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of New Zealand Warriors - North Queensland Cowboys?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Main Event
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