North Carolina vs Phoenix Rising: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship North Carolina - Phoenix Rising
Result
0:2
10/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)
North Carolina - Phoenix Rising - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.191.29
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
78% (316/405)73% (212/291)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.191.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.011.36
Total shots
611
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1913
Passes
78% (316/405)73% (212/291)
Long passes
43% (15/35)31% (19/61)
Passes in final third
55% (51/92)65% (44/68)
Crosses
15% (2/13)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.200.98
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
1319
Tackles
50% (4/8)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4643
Clearances
1231
Interceptions
616
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.360.01
Goals prevented
-0.640.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', Flores D. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Dennis C. ,
  • 38', Johnson D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Roberts T. , Anderson O. ,
  • 55', Donovan C. 🟨,
  • 61', 0 - 2, Smith C. , Johnson D. (A),
  • 64', Craig P. , Burner P. ,
  • 70', Johnson D. , Sacko I. ,
  • 85', Sommersall R. , Quintanilla J. ,
  • 85', Flores D. , Okello N. ,
  • 86', Avayevu H. , Emmers X. ,
  • 90+3', Al Qaq A. , Hodge T. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


North Carolina
43%
Draw
26.3%
Phoenix Rising
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 26.5% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 25.9% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • North Carolina - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.02)
    3.53
    (3.51)
    3.04
    (3.41)
    7.6%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • North Carolina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Phoenix Rising has had a series of home games.
    • North Carolina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Phoenix Rising - North Carolina 0:0
    08.05.2024 North Carolina - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    Latest results of North Carolina
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 28216155:193669
    2Charleston ✔ 27184559:293058
    3Hartford Athletic ✔ 281351046:321444
    4Loudoun ✔ 281261044:45-142
    5North Carolina ✔ 281251139:39041
    6Pittsburgh ✔ 281171029:28140
    7Rhode Island281071128:27137
    8Detroit28981131:33-235
    9Indy Eleven28951441:49-832
    10Tampa Bay28861439:47-830
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC28661625:42-1724


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 28158546:291753
    2Sacramento Republic ✔ 28129743:261745
    3New Mexico ✔ 281351040:37344
    4El Paso281010844:39540
    5San Antonio281071134:35-137
    6Lexington29991131:39-836
    7Phoenix Rising28812847:48-136
    8Orange County SC28981142:44-235
    9Colorado Springs28971234:44-1034
    10Oakland Roots28771436:49-1328
    11Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    12Las Vegas Lights28681422:48-2626

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of North Carolina - Phoenix Rising?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+
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